This research is motivated by identified gaps in contemporary planning practices and
production processes within firms. Relying solely on experiential knowledge has proven
limiting, necessitating a more systematic approach. Previous instances of data anomalies,
particularly ongoing challenges in achieving satisfactory delivery reliability, have underlined
the need for deeper insights into underlying patterns.
The objectives of this study are:
• To identify and analyze specific obstacles and challenges affecting load balance
and delivery security in Borl.nge's production system.
• To explore various methods or strategies aimed at enhancing the process of
generating reliable capacity forecasting methods.
Both primary and secondary research methods were employed. Primary methods
included interviews and the development of a forecast model, while secondary studies
encompassed the latest research in the field.
The thesis revealed five primary factors hindering capacity attainment:
1. WIP(work in progress)/ slabs material shortages disrupt production flow and
escalate costs due to the need for external sourcing of slabs.
2. Transport issues, including incorrect internal deliveries and the weather
conditions, pose challenges.
3. Personnel shortages hinder the efficient utilization of production capacity.
4. Machine breakdowns result in production interruptions, leading to capacity loss
and inefficiency.
5. Inventory problems, such as insufficient capacity and poor management,
impede smooth production operations.
Additionally, the second objective was addressed by implementing exponential
smoothing for capacity planning forecasts. By updating forecasts every 13 weeks, this study
improves the production forecast.