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Synchronizing climate intervention: On the infrastructural timing of expert foresight
Linköping University, Department of Thematic Studies, Tema Environmental Change. Linköping University, Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, CSPR.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1979-2795
Linköping University, Department of Thematic Studies, Tema Environmental Change. Linköping University, Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, CSPR.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1156-8748
Linköping University, Department of Thematic Studies, Tema Environmental Change. Linköping University, Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, CSPR.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1912-5538
2026 (English)In: Time & Society, ISSN 0961-463X, E-ISSN 1461-7463Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

As large-scale climate interventions such as solar geoengineering gain traction in formal assessment processes, the role of computer-based models in shaping anticipatory governance remains underexplored. This paper examines how model intercomparison projects serve as infrastructural sites for synchronization, aligning diverse scientific, technical, and political timelines to facilitate expert foresight. Through an analysis of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project, we demonstrate how the organization of data through experimental protocols and historical simulations is a contested practice where experts negotiate shared schedules and rhythms of anticipation. Our findings reveal that many practices for synchronization are mundane and happen outside formal models. Despite the highly technical nature of computer-based modelling, with its emphasis on the uniform temporality of numerical calculation, we argue that important to the synchronization of deployment scenarios is the exercise of practical judgement, as experts discern and seize opportunities to reorient collective expectations about the future. By foregrounding this kairological dimension to knowledge infrastructures, we highlight the politics of anticipation that experts are engaged in, influencing how societies perceive and respond to the feasibility of large-scale climate interventions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
United Kingdom: Sage Publications, 2026.
Keywords [en]
Anticipatory governance; knowledge infrastructures; model intercomparison projects; solar geoengineering; synchronization.
National Category
Science and Technology Studies
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-226397DOI: 10.1177/0961463X261459537OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-226397DiVA, id: diva2:2090398
Projects
Solar radiation management as a necessary evil or a full-fledged climate measure? A contribution to increased transparency between science and societyNegotiating climate emergency
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, P2022-01045Wallenberg Foundations, MAW 2022.0070Available from: 2026-08-06 Created: 2026-08-06 Last updated: 2026-08-30

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Publisher's full texthttps://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0961463X261459537

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CiteExportLink to record
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