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Long-term obesity trends in northern Sweden: cross-sectional data from the MONICA study (1986–2022)
Department of Health, Education and Technology, Sunderby Research Unit – Norrbotten, Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, Sweden.
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine.
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0502-5939
Department of Health, Education and Technology, Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, Sweden.
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2026 (English)In: Obesity Science & Practice, E-ISSN 2055-2238, Vol. 12, no 4, article id e70170Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Elevated BMI and central adiposity increase the risk of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, and several cancers. Obesity has risen in recent decades, with Northern Sweden exceeding the national average. Anthropometric trends in the Northern Sweden MONICA study have not been updated since 2004.

Objective: To describe overweight and obesity trends in Northern Sweden from 1986 to 2022.

Methods: Eight population-based surveys were conducted between 1986 and 2022 within the Northern Sweden MONICA study. In each survey, 2000–2500 adults aged 25–74 years were invited; 12,950 participated (mean age 49.5 [SD 13.6]; 51% women), with a 68.2% response rate. Anthropometry was assessed using standardized protocols.

Results: Obesity increased by 15.7 percentage points in men and 12.1 percentage points in women. By 2022, obesity had doubled since 1986, reaching 26.6% in men and 26.3% in women. Abdominal obesity also increased: with waist circumference ≥ 102 cm in men and ≥ 88 cm in women rising by 21.5 and 4.9 percentage points, respectively.

Conclusions: General and abdominal obesity have substantially increased in Northern Sweden over the past four decades. These findings call for urgent, coordinated, and multi-level interventions, as continued increases in obesity pose serious long-term risks to population health and healthcare sustainability.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2026. Vol. 12, no 4, article id e70170
Keywords [en]
body mass index (BMI), Northern Sweden, obesity, overweight, waist circumference
National Category
Epidemiology Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-256825DOI: 10.1002/osp4.70170ISI: 001817109200001PubMedID: 42445566Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105044347255OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-256825DiVA, id: diva2:2087344
Funder
Norrbotten County CouncilAvailable from: 2026-07-20 Created: 2026-07-20 Last updated: 2026-07-20Bibliographically approved

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Dahlin Almevall, AlbinBrännholm Syrjälä, MariaNordendahl, MariaSöderberg, StefanOskarsson, ViktorBengtsson, Anna
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