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Mining-Induced Seismicity Classification for Rockburst Prediction in Deep Mines
School of Mining and Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, Astana, Kazakhstan.
University of Kwazulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
School of Mining and Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, Astana, Kazakhstan.
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Mining and Geotechnical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1014-0405
2026 (English)In: Advances in Rock Mechanics—Infrastructure Development: Proceedings of the 13th Asian Rock Mechanics Symposium ARMS13 / [ed] Debasis Deb; V. M.S.R. Murthy; H.S. Venkatesh; K. S. Rao; R. K. Goel; Mahendra Singh, Springer Nature , 2026, Vol. 4, p. 347-355Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Rockbursts are known for their unpredictable and violent nature, representing a significant threat to workers’ safety, mining productivity, and operational costs. Therefore, a quantitative assessment of rockburst damage is significant for geotechnical risk management in seismically active underground mines. Over the past few decades, numerous studies have been conducted to mitigate the risk posed by rockburst from various perspectives. Despite the scientific achievements and technological advances in ground control, rockburst still threatening underground mine operations because of the elusive character of the rockburst phenomenon and the challenges associated with its reliable prediction. Hence, the current study examines the possibility of implementing supervised machine learning algorithms to classify seismic events. Mining-induced seismicity pertaining to a deep gold mine exploiting the Witwatersrand Basin of South Africa was used to implement the models. The validation results showed the classification accuracy varied between 70 and 84% depending on the model implemented. These indicate good agreement with the seismic data and the induced rockburst events. It was concluded that the results of the study could assist in minimizing the risk of rockbursting in deep mines. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2026. Vol. 4, p. 347-355
Series
Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering (LNCE), ISSN 2366-2557, E-ISSN 2366-2565 ; 786
Keywords [en]
Induced seismicity, Mining, Rockburst risk, Machine learning
National Category
Mineral and Mine Engineering Other Civil Engineering
Research subject
Mining and Rock Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-117826DOI: 10.1007/978-981-95-4255-0_34ISI: 001757272800034Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105039296325OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-117826DiVA, id: diva2:2068429
Conference
13th Asian Rock Mechanics Symposium "Advances in Rock Mechanics - Infrastructure Development" (ARMS13), New Delhi, India, September 22-27, 2024
Note

ISBN for host publication: 978-981-95-4254-3, 978-981-95-4255-0

Available from: 2026-06-09 Created: 2026-06-09 Last updated: 2026-08-18Bibliographically approved

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