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Counterurban stayers of Sweden: a survival analysis
2026 (English)In: Jahrbuch für Regional Wissenschaft, ISSN 0173-7600, E-ISSN 1613-9836Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Contemporary literature underscores the demographic and economic stagnation of non-urban areas, driven by ongoing urbanization and the associated outflow of human capital. Although counterurban migration has long been proposed as a potential remedy, empirical evidence on its long-term consequences remains limited, particularly with respect to individuals who remain in these areas over time. This study examines post-migration staying among individuals who moved from metropolitan to non-metropolitan regions in Sweden between 2006 and 2010, analysing the determinants of staying duration over a ten-year follow-up period using administrative register data. Employing survival models, the analysis reveals substantial variation in staying duration across regional contexts and migrant sub-groups. Longer residential stability is more strongly associated with proximity to metropolitan labour markets, family-related characteristics, and prior regional ties, while more remote and structurally weaker regions exhibit higher exit risks. The findings indicate that counterurban migration frequently takes the form of selective settlement in commuting-accessible areas rather than deep rural retention. Overall, the results highlight patterns of regional fit and selective retention across migrant sub-groups and destination types, contributing to a more nuanced understanding of counterurban migration and its role in regional population redistribution.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Science+Business Media B.V., 2026.
National Category
Human Geography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-252617DOI: 10.1007/s10037-026-00283-1ISI: 001744105600001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105036129022OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-252617DiVA, id: diva2:2056228
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2019-00664
Note

Errata: Neyse, S. Correction to: Counterurban Stayers of Sweden: A Survival Analysis. Rev Reg Res (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10037-026-00285-z

Available from: 2026-04-28 Created: 2026-04-28 Last updated: 2026-07-17
In thesis
1. Counterurban migration in Sweden: regional-individual dynamics
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Counterurban migration in Sweden: regional-individual dynamics
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis examines counterurban migration in Sweden by linking individual outcomes, regional labour market dynamics and long-term settlement patterns within a multi-scalar framework. It focuses on a specific form of counterurban migration defined as movements from the metropolitan regions of Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö towards smaller settings across the urban hierarchy. Drawing on an evolutionary framework of variation, selection and retention, the analysis conceptualises migration as a process through which variation in populations, and in their associated skills, experiences and preferences, is introduced into regional systems, selectively integrated within existing structures, and retained over time. The findings suggest that counterurban migration contributes to gradual and context-dependent forms of regional adjustment rather than abrupt transformation, with outcomes shaped by the interaction between individual motivations, labour-market conditions and the spatial organisation of regions. Counterurban migration is most strongly represented in the regions surrounding the metropolitan areas, particularly among younger and middle-aged adults with relatively strong socioeconomic profiles, indicating a gradual spatial redistribution of population and capabilities rather than a marginal detachment from previous lives and networks. Intermediate and accessible regions, especially mid-sized towns and their surrounding commuting areas, emerge as particularly important settings, combining lifestyle advantages with continued access to broader labour markets and stronger prospects for long-term retention. In this sense, migration is understood as part of an ongoing process that challenges a simple trade-off narrative by showing that individuals may simultaneously achieve improvements in both work-related and lifestyle-related outcomes,while regions may also benefit through the incorporation of incoming capabilities, skills, repertoires and practices. More broadly, the findings suggest that individual trajectories and regional structures co-evolve over time through processes of selective retention, highlighting the importance of viewing mobility not merely as population redistribution, but as one mechanism through which regional development and settlement systems are continually reshaped.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Umeå: Umeå University, 2026. p. 86
Series
GERUM, ISSN 1402-5205 ; 2026:02
National Category
Human Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-252546 (URN)978-91-6850-035-5 (ISBN)978-91-6850-036-2 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-05-25, Hörsal SAM.A.230, Samhällsvetarhuset, Umeå, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2026-05-04 Created: 2026-04-28 Last updated: 2026-05-04Bibliographically approved

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