Rapporten genomför en systemanalys av hur vätgasbaserad elektrifiering kan implementeras i värdekedjan för tunga skogstransporter i Värmland. Studien visar att tekniken är praktiskt möjlig men att nuvarande vätgaskostnad (cirka 64 kr/kg) utgör den främsta ekonomiska barriären. Infrastruktur för produktion och tankning är under uppbyggnad, inkludernade en planerad 20 MW elektrolysör i Karlstad och en befintlig tankstation i Väse. Vätgasfordon bedöms som mest lämpade för längre distanser med krav på snabb tankning. Rekommendationen är att gå vidare med pilotprojekt när fordon finns tillgängliga och betalningsviljan är något högre.
Värmland’s freight sector is dominated by the forest industry, with timber transports accounting for a third of all volumes. Decarbonizing this segment is essential but challenging due to its with heavy loads, irregular routes, and demanding forest roads.Hydrogen offers a potential electrified solution, combining long range and fast refueling similar to diesel. This project has conducted a system analysis explored how hydrogen could be applied to forestry transports on road in Värmland, engaging industry stakeholders to assess readiness and the potential for a pilot project.The regional value chain is still emerging: production capacity in Karlstad is not expected before 2030, one refueling station in Väse is operational since autumn 2025 but suitable heavy-duty hydrogen trucks are not yet commercially available. The technology choice also depends on conditions—fuel cells (FCEV) may work for less demanding routes from a topology perspective, while hydrogen combustion (H2 ICE) engines appear more effective for demanding transportation work.The main barrier is cost. With current assumptions in this value chain, hydrogen prices at the pump (about 64 SEK per kg hydrogen or 5,8 EUR) remain too high to compete with diesel. Cost parity will require either lower hydrogen prices or higher diesel prices, potentially influenced by EU carbon pricing (ETS2 from 2027).Despite these challenges, stakeholders see strong potential for a pilot project once appropriate vehicles become available. Success will hinge on aligning vehicle supply combined with the current fuel infrastructure, and competitive pricing.