Digitala Vetenskapliga Arkivet

Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Identifying key AI challenges in make-to-order manufacturing organisations: A multiple case study
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Software Engineering. Herenco AB, Jönköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1380-1408
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Software Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3646-235x
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Software Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0619-6027
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Software Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0535-1761
2025 (English)In: Journal of Systems and Software, ISSN 0164-1212, E-ISSN 1873-1228, Vol. 230, article id 112559Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Artificial Intelligence can make manufacturing organisations more effective and efficient, but it is not clear which AI tasks hold the greatest potential. Make-to-order manufacturers must constantly adapt to customers’ unique and rapidly changing needs, and therefore have different challenges than make-to-stock manufacturers. Our ambition is to develop an AI-enabled software system to support manufacturing organisations in improving their processes. To this end, we first seek to understand the data and technology requirements for key AI-enabled tasks in a make-to-order setting and determine the level of performance and explainability needed to address them. We perform a multiple case study of five make-to-order packaging manufacturers, interviewing personnel from sales, production, and supply chain to identify and prioritise operational challenges suitable for AI approaches. Demand forecasting emerges as the most important task, followed by predictive maintenance, quality inspection, complex decision risk estimation, and production planning. Participants emphasise the importance of explainable techniques to ensure trust in the systems. The results highlight a need for a greater control of the production process and a better understanding of customer needs. Although most of the tasks could be solved with current techniques, some, such as intermittent demand forecasting and complex decision risk estimation, would require further development. The study clarifies the potential of AI-enabled systems in make-to-order manufacturing and outlines the steps required to realise it.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 230, article id 112559
Keywords [en]
Multiple case study, Artificial intelligence, Manufacturing, Make-to-order, Data requirements
National Category
Computer Systems
Research subject
Software Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-28524DOI: 10.1016/j.jss.2025.112559ISI: 001542843200002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105011965337OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-28524DiVA, id: diva2:1991105
Part of project
SERT- Software Engineering ReThought, Knowledge Foundation
Funder
Knowledge Foundation, 20180010Available from: 2025-08-21 Created: 2025-08-21 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Decision Support through Global Demand Forecasting: Challenges and Directions in Make-To-Order Manufacturing Organisations
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Decision Support through Global Demand Forecasting: Challenges and Directions in Make-To-Order Manufacturing Organisations
2025 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Developing AI systems for complex real-world settings requires aligning technical development with domain-specific needs. However, a gap often exists between stakeholders and developers; stakeholders may lack technical expertise to express their needs clearly, whereas developers may lack domain knowledge to identify relevant tasks. This thesis aims to bridge that gap by exploring how decision support systems can address complex real-world tasks through tailored technical solutions and evaluation procedures.

The work includes a qualitative multiple case study with make-to-order companies to identify and prioritise AI tasks for system development, along with experimental studies that address gaps in intermittent demand forecasting using a novel timing-aware model and evaluation metric. We also conduct a remote sensing ditch detection study for environmental planning. Both cases highlight the need to align models and evaluation procedures with task-specific challenges such as data sparsity, noise, and class imbalance.

Our findings show that make-to-order manufacturers prioritise tasks that improve customer understanding, such as demand forecasting and decision risk estimation, as well as production-related tasks like quality inspection and predictive maintenance. Demand forecasting emerged as the most important task, with challenges linked to heterogeneous data stemming from intermittent patterns and numerous unique items. Our experiments show that decomposing demand into timing and magnitude improves forecasting performance, and that timing-aware metrics are essential for fair evaluation on a global scale. The ditch detection case similarly underscores the value of domain-aligned design and evaluation. The thesis contributes empirical insights on industry priorities and technical advances in forecasting and evaluation, emphasising the importance of grounding AI development in real-world conditions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2025. p. 156
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Licentiate Dissertation Series, ISSN 1650-2140 ; 2025:08
Keywords
Artificial Intelligence, Machine learning, Decision support, Demand forecasting, Intermittent demand, Time-series, Neural networks, Make-to-order manufacturing
National Category
Computer Systems Computer Vision and Learning Systems
Research subject
Software Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28531 (URN)978-91-7295-506-6 (ISBN)
Presentation
2025-10-24, J1630, Valhallavägen 1, Karlskrona, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-08-26 Created: 2025-08-22 Last updated: 2025-10-08Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(1676 kB)125 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 1676 kBChecksum SHA-512
bc88187cbf05d81e8c6a6b50c2acf05ac4f23c52cac7e9e892f054cb4599ffd9bf41cf2ff4e5b8cba38480bfb518852c0e8f1a89fdbc62b157f746e54970a1b4
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Flyckt, JonatanGorschek, TonyMendez, DanielLavesson, Niklas
By organisation
Department of Software Engineering
In the same journal
Journal of Systems and Software
Computer Systems

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 126 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 1079 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf