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Predicting Cancer Stage from Circulating microRNA: A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms
University of Skövde, School of Bioscience. University of Skövde, Systems Biology Research Environment. (Translational Bioinformatics)ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4191-8435
University of Skövde, School of Bioscience. University of Skövde, Systems Biology Research Environment. (Translational Bioinformatics)ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9242-4852
University of Skövde, School of Bioscience. University of Skövde, Systems Biology Research Environment. Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sweden. (Translational Bioinformatics)ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4697-0590
2023 (English)In: Bioinformatics and Biomedical Engineering: 10th International Work-Conference, IWBBIO 2023, Meloneras, Gran Canaria, Spain, July 12–14, 2023, Proceedings, Part I / [ed] Ignacio Rojas; Olga Valenzuela; Fernando Rojas Ruiz; Luis Javier Herrera; Francisco Ortuño, Cham: Springer, 2023, p. 103-115Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In recent years, serum-based tests for early detection and detection of tissue of origin are being developed. Circulating microRNA has been shown to be a potential source of diagnostic information that can be collected non-invasively. In this study, we investigate circulating microRNAs as predictors of cancer stage. Specifically, we predict whether a sample stems from a patient with early stage (0-II) or late stage cancer (III-IV). We trained five machine learning algorithms on a data set of cancers from twelve different primary sites. The results showed that cancer stage can be predicted from circulating microRNA with a sensitivity of 71.73%, specificity of 79.97%, as well as positive and negative predictive value of 54.81% and 89.29%, respectively. Furthermore, we compared the best pan-cancer model with models specialized on individual cancers and found no statistically significant difference. Finally, in the best performing pan-cancer model 185 microRNAs were significant. Comparing the five most relevant circulating microRNAs in the best performing model with the current literature showed some known associations to various cancers. In conclusion, the study showed the potential of circulating microRNA and machine learning algorithms to predict cancer stage and thus suggests that further research into its potential as a non-invasive clinical test is warranted. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer, 2023. p. 103-115
Series
Lecture Notes in Computer Science, ISSN 0302-9743, E-ISSN 1611-3349 ; 13919
Keywords [en]
cancer stage, circulating microRNA, liquid biopsy, machine learning, Clinical research, Diseases, Forecasting, Learning algorithms, RNA, Cancer models, Comparative analyzes, Diagnostics informations, Late stage, Machine learning algorithms, Machine-learning, Potential sources
National Category
Bioinformatics (Computational Biology)
Research subject
Bioinformatics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:his:diva-23058DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-34953-9_8ISI: 001313788200008Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85164958861ISBN: 978-3-031-34952-2 (print)ISBN: 978-3-031-34953-9 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:his-23058DiVA, id: diva2:1784745
Conference
10th International Work-Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedical Engineering, IWBBIO 2023 Meloneras 12 July 2023 through 14 July 2023 Code 297199
Funder
Knowledge Foundation, 20170302Knowledge Foundation, 20200014Swedish Research Council, 2022–06725
Note

Part of the book sub series: Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics (LNBI) Electronic ISSN 2366-6331 Print ISSN 2366-6323

© 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

This work was supported by the University of Skövde, Swede nunder grants from the Knowledge Foundation (20170302, 20200014). The computations were enabled by resources provided by the National Academic Infrastructure for Supercomputing in Sweden (NAISS) at Chalmers University of Technology partially funded by the Swedish Research Council through grant agreement no. 2022–06725.

Available from: 2023-07-31 Created: 2023-07-31 Last updated: 2025-09-29Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Machine Learning for Predicting Cancer Endpoints from Bulk Omics Data: Generalizing Knowledge from Various Modalities Across Domains
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Machine Learning for Predicting Cancer Endpoints from Bulk Omics Data: Generalizing Knowledge from Various Modalities Across Domains
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Cancer remains one of the leading causes of death and is a major burden on patients and healthcare systems. One difficulty for finding effective treatment and matching patients to the right treatment strategy is the complexity of tumor biology. Machine learning holds the potential to learn patterns from data generated by high-throughput technologies, such as RNA-sequencing, that can elucidate the mechanisms underlying cancers and make clinically relevant predictions. In this thesis, we investigate the modeling of cancer with machine learning approaches from different molecular perspectives. First, we review the literature on the fusion of biomedical modalities with multimodal deep neural networks. In this review, we provide a descriptive overview, propose a novel taxonomy, and identify relevant research gaps. Moreover, for models to be applicable to clinical practice, they must be robust to shifts in the distribution patients are sampled from. Such shifts can stem from differences in the underlying biology or technical variation introduced during the processing of the biological material. Therefore, in two studies, we investigate domain generalization of machine learning models trained with bulk RNA-sequencing data to predict cancer survival endpoints. First, we show that deep learning-based domain generalization methods developed on non-molecular data improve robustness to distributional shifts on molecular data. We test these methods by predicting overall and recurrence free survival of breast cancer patients with subgroup shifts between source and target domains. Next, we show that relative representations of normalized count values, such as binning or ranking of expression values within a single sample, can increase domain generalization. We test these approaches in three experiments on breast, brain, and ovarian cancer. In a final study, we show that cancer stage can be predicted from circulating microRNA data with machine learning models, providing a proof of concept for this application. Overall, the work in this thesis supports making machine learning models more applicable to clinical practice by providing empirical evidence of methods improving the modeling of cancer biology. Continuing to study domain generalization of models in clinical practice and to develop methods for robustness are highlighted as future work.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Skövde: University of Skövde, 2025. p. xi, 147
Series
Dissertation Series ; 63
National Category
Cancer and Oncology Bioinformatics (Computational Biology) Other Computer and Information Science
Research subject
Bioinformatics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:his:diva-25131 (URN)978-91-987907-9-5 (ISBN)978-91-989080-0-8 (ISBN)
Public defence
2025-06-04, G110, University of Skövde Building G, Skövde, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Note

Ett av fyra delarbeten (övriga se rubriken Delarbeten/List of papers):

3. Stahlschmidt, Sören Richard, Synnergren, Jane, and Giovannucci, Andrea (2025). “Relative Representations of RNA-seq Data Improve Domain Generalization of Machine Learning Models for Cancer Prognosis”. In: Under Submission.

Publications with low relevance:

5. Johansson, Markus, Stahlschmidt, Sören Richard, Heydarkhan-Hagvall, Sepideh, Jeppsson, Anders, Holmgren, Gustav, Sartipy, Peter, and Synnergren, Jane (2025). “Uncovering the transcriptomic landscape of cardiac hypertrophy using single-cell RNA sequencing and machine learning”. In: Under Submission.

6. Lyubetskaya, Anna et al. (2025). “In situ multi-modal characterization of pancreatic cancer reveals tumor cell identity as a defining factor of the surrounding microenvironment”. In: Under Submission.

7. Marzec-Schmidt, Katarzyna, Ghosheh, Nidal, Stahlschmidt, Sören Richard, Küppers-Munther, Barbara, Synnergren, Jane, and Ulfenborg, Benjamin (2023). “Artificial Intelligence Supports Automated Characterization of Differentiated Human Pluripotent Stem Cells”. In: Stem Cells 41.9, pp. 850–861. DOI:10. 1093/stmcls/sxad049. 

Available from: 2025-05-12 Created: 2025-05-09 Last updated: 2025-09-29Bibliographically approved

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