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Do Asylum-Seekers Respond to Policy Changes?: Evidence from the Swedish-Syrian Case
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute for Housing and Urban Research.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4609-1924
Linköping University, SE-581 83 Linköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1283-1501
2023 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Economics, ISSN 0347-0520, E-ISSN 1467-9442, Vol. 125, no 1, p. 3-31Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Do asylum-seekers respond to policy changes in their destination country, and to what extent? We approach this question by using high-frequency data, and we focus on a sudden liberalization in Swedish policy toward Syrian asylum-seekers, which implied permanent instead of temporary residence. We show a clear and fast, yet temporary, increase in Syrian asylum applications in Sweden after the policy change. Also, the policy caused a shift – not limited to the short term – in the share of individuals arriving without family, and consequently in the share applying for family reunification. Our study adds quasi-experimental evidence to the literature on inter-country asylum flows and migration policy.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2023. Vol. 125, no 1, p. 3-31
Keywords [en]
Refugees, Asylum policy, Migration trends, Sweden, Residence permits
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-404102DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12510ISI: 000932441900001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-404102DiVA, id: diva2:1392809
Funder
EU, European Research Council, 683214 CONPOLHandelsbanken Research FoundationAvailable from: 2020-02-10 Created: 2020-02-10 Last updated: 2024-08-28Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Governing Migration: On the Emergence and Effects of Policies Related to the Settlement and Inclusion of Refugees
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Governing Migration: On the Emergence and Effects of Policies Related to the Settlement and Inclusion of Refugees
2020 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis consists of the following papers: In Paper I, I investigate the causal relationship between seat majorities for mainstream parties and refugee reception policy in Swedish municipalities. In conclusion, I find that the link between political seat majorities and refugee reception is of an associative rather than a causal nature. In order to find significant estimates, the win margin for each bloc needs to be rather substantial. Thus, the paper indicates that there is a unified political attitude over the mainstream blocs towards refugee reception and that other factors, and not political seat majorities, have contributed to the uneven distribution of refugees among municipalities in Sweden. In Paper II, I turn to focus on how stakeholders in four small-sized Swedish municipalities with diverging historical reception of refugees explain and describe their policy approach. By conducting semi-structured interviews, I find that stakeholders share a common understanding about how refugee reception has been performed locally (in terms of high or low refugee intake) and that they emphasise the importance of prior experiences rather than the composition of political parties or resources in explaining their current policy approach. In Paper III, which is co-authored with Henrik Andersson, we investigate whether asylum seekers react to changes in migration policy by assessing the effects of a Swedish regulatory change implemented in 2013. Using high-frequency data with information on the weekly number of asylum seekers, we find that refugees do react very rapidly, even within a week, but that the effects were temporary. We also find that the Swedish change of policy affected the distribution of Syrian asylum seekers in Europe in a significant manner as well as the characteristics of the Syrian population of refugees coming to Sweden. In Paper IV, which is co-authored with Darrel Robinson, we investigate the effects of residency status on the labour market participation of refugees. Using a full-population database, we show that residency status has a short-term effect on labour market participation among Syrian refugees, indicating that those granted temporary residency are more active in the labour market. However, those granted permanent residency are more likely to participate in education.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2020. p. 70
Series
Digital Comprehensive Summaries of Uppsala Dissertations from the Faculty of Social Sciences, ISSN 1652-9030 ; 177
Keywords
Sweden, Refugees, Asylum policy, Residency status, Municipal refugee reception policy, Mainstream parties, Labour market inclusion, Syria
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-404108 (URN)978-91-513-0899-9 (ISBN)
Public defence
2020-06-13, Brusewitzsalen, Östra Ågatan 19, Uppsala, 13:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2020-05-05 Created: 2020-03-02 Last updated: 2021-08-24

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Citation style
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