Digitala Vetenskapliga Arkivet

Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Why did Swedish regional net migration rates fall in the 1970s?: The role of policy changes versus structural change, 1945–1985
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economic History.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3427-5515
2018 (English)In: Scandinavian Economic History Review, ISSN 0358-5522, E-ISSN 1750-2837, Vol. 66, no 1, p. 91-115Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The relationship between local labour market conditions and regional migration has been widely discussed within research. In Sweden, where interregional migration reached a peak in the 1960s but decreased substantially in the 1970s, the role of economic policy has been especially contended in light of the Swedish model and its official stress on regional mobility. By collecting and creating a new and unique dataset on net-migration, vacancy rates, employment and labour income by county, the pattern of interregional migration in Sweden is analysed over a period of time that also covers the early postwar period (1945– 1985), allowing for a detailed evaluation of the drivers of migration at different times. My results suggest that there was no significant change over time in the responsiveness of migration to local labour market conditions. The changing patterns of regional migration were therefore more likely the result of changes in the pace and direction of structural change. I discuss the implications of these results for previous accounts of the Swedish model and of the decline in migration after 1970.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. Vol. 66, no 1, p. 91-115
Keywords [en]
Swedish model, regional migration, labour markets, economic restructuring
National Category
Economic History
Research subject
Economic History
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-342085DOI: 10.1080/03585522.2018.1433228ISI: 000434456000007OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-342085DiVA, id: diva2:1183736
Funder
The Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation, P2013-0274:1
Note

Title in the list of papers of Jakob Molinder's thesis: Local Labor Markets and Regional Mobility in Sweden: Evidence from New County Level Data, 1945–1985

Available from: 2018-02-19 Created: 2018-02-19 Last updated: 2025-12-11Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Interregional Migration, Wages and Labor Market Policy: Essays on the Swedish Model in the Postwar Period
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Interregional Migration, Wages and Labor Market Policy: Essays on the Swedish Model in the Postwar Period
2017 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The Swedish model is perceived as a successful framework for combining rapid labor market adjustment with low inequality. Formulated by Gösta Rehn and Rudolf Meidner and implemented from the 1950s, it has been associated with the peak in economic restructuring and interregional migration during the 1960s. However, there is little empirical evidence for this. This thesis consists of an introduction and four essays. It explores three aspects of the model from a long-run perspective: interregional migration, wage dispersion and labor market policy.

Essay I uses new data to track interregional migration rates in the postwar period (1945-1985). The results show that the responsiveness of interregional migration to local labor market conditions remained stable over time; it was neither higher during the 1960s nor lower when migration declined after 1970.

Essay II employs a regression-decomposition framework to analyze the evolution of wage dispersion. The results suggest that wage dispersion was stable from centralized bargaining’s introduction in 1956 to the late 1960s. Afterwards, there was a rapid decline, likely because of solidaristic bargaining.

Essay III contrasts the implementation of the active labor market policy to regional policy. Following a decisive shift around 1970, the focus on north to south mobility was replaced with policies to stimulate northern employment. Declining rural support for the Social Democrats and electoral competition from the Center Party caused this shift.

Finally, Essay IV is a case study about mobility subsidy usage in Västernorrland County using sources on relocation allowances from 1965, 1970 and 1975. The results indicate that in the 1960s there was strong selection into the program by young persons with good labor market prospects. However, the program’s use did not change after the regional policy shift in the early 1970s.

The collective results suggest that the policies associated with the Swedish model were minor for economic restructuring patterns. The migrations of the 1960s and the decline in regional disruptions after 1970 should instead be explained by studying the consequences of structural changes, how regions were progressively affected differently and the possible role that government policies played in directing demand for labor across space.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Uppsala: Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis, 2017. p. 79
Series
Uppsala Studies in Economic History, ISSN 0346-6493 ; 111
Keywords
Swedish model, postwar period, interregional migration, wages, labor market policy, regional restructuring, economic growth, structural change, solidaristic wage policy, relocation allowances, regional policy
National Category
Economic History
Research subject
Economic History
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-324443 (URN)978-91-513-0002-3 (ISBN)
Public defence
2017-09-08, Hörsal 2, Ekonomikum, Kyrkogårdsgatan 10, Uppsala, 13:15 (Swedish)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
The Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation, P2013-0274:1
Available from: 2017-08-14 Created: 2017-06-15 Last updated: 2025-12-11

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(2576 kB)323 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 2576 kBChecksum SHA-512
a01fe3a5a5cc5156b9025d8a5381091fe3ad7a63ebc230ed401513dc0548a646671a07f98d20789fd8523381cbc8f31f482965aefd2625f693ca04ca864e4aa0
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full text

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Molinder, Jakob
By organisation
Department of Economic History
In the same journal
Scandinavian Economic History Review
Economic History

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 324 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 176 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf