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  • 1. Abiye, T. A.
    et al.
    Bhattacharya, Prosun
    KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering.
    Arsenic concentration in groundwater: Archetypal study from South Africa2019In: Groundwater for Sustainable Development, ISSN 2352-801X, Vol. 9, article id 100246Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    South Africa does not have significant surface water resources, which is often easily affected by unpredictable and rapidly changing climatic variables, due to its location in the arid and semi-arid climatic setting. In large part of the country, groundwater from weathered and fractured crystalline rocks plays pivotal role in sustaining the livelihood, often it contains toxic metals released from the host rocks. The host rocks that are responsible for arsenic release in groundwater are primarily enriched due to metamorphism and igneous processes that resulted in the enrichment of economic minerals. Preliminary assessment indicates that the main arsenic containing minerals are arsenopyrite (FeAsS), arsenical oxide, sulpharsenide, arsenopyritical reefs, leucopyrite, löllingite (FeAs2) and scorodite (FeAsO4·2H2O). Owing to the release of arsenic from highly mineralized rocks that constitute the aquifers, arsenic concentration in the groundwater reaches up to 253 μg/L (Namaqualand), 6150 μg/L (west of Johannesburg), about 500 μg/L in the Karoo aquifers, considerably higher than the WHO guideline value of 10 μg/L. Acid mine drainage from coal and gold mining is also found to be an important source of arsenic and other toxic metals in groundwater.

  • 2.
    Abong'o, Deborah
    et al.
    University of Nairobi, Kenya.
    Wandiga, Shem
    University of Nairobi. Kenya.
    Jumba, Isac
    University of Nairobi, Kenya.
    van den Brink, Paul
    Wageningen University, the Netherlands.
    Nazariwo, Betty
    Makerere University, Uganda.
    Madadi, Vincent
    University of Nairobi, Kenya.
    Wafula, Godfrey
    University of Nairobi, Kenya.
    Kylin, Henrik
    Linköping University, The Tema Institute, Tema Environmental Change. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences.
    Nkedi-Kizza, Peter
    University of Florida, USA.
    Organochlorine pesticide residue levels in soil from the Nyando River catchment, Kenya2015In: Africa Journal of Physical Sciences, ISSN 2313-3317, Vol. 2, no 1, p. 18-32Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Soil samples were collected from six locations representative of the Nyando River catchment area of the Lake Victoria over a period of two years. Sampling was done four times in the year in February, May, September and December 2005 and 2006 in farms where maize, tea, sugar cane, coffee, rice and vegetables have been grown over the years. This coincided with the effects of different seasons and farming activities on residue levels of the pesticides in use. The objective was to investigate levels and distribution of organochlorine pesticides that have either been banned or are restricted for use in Kenya. Organochlorine pesticides investigated were DDT, lindane, aldrin, dieldrin, heptachlor, endrin, endosulfan (both α- and β- isomers and endosulfan sulphate), the sum is called “total” or Σendosulfan and methoxychlor. Prior to the ban or restriction in use, these pesticides had found wide applications in public health for control of disease vectors and in agriculture for control of crop pests. The analysis revealed presence of all the targeted pesticides with the highest mean concentrations for methoxychlor 140 ± 1.5 μg/kg, Σendosulfan (30 ± 2.1 μg/kg), aldrin (18 ± 0.28 μg/kg), respectively. The results show the presence of these pesticides in soils in the basin and this could be impacting negatively on the ecosystem health of the area.

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  • 3.
    Acosta Navarro, Juan Camilo
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Environmental Science and Analytical Chemistry.
    Anthropogenic influence on climate through changes in aerosol emissions from air pollution and land use change2017Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Particulate matter suspended in air (i.e. aerosol particles) exerts a substantial influence on the climate of our planet and is responsible for causing severe public health problems in many regions across the globe. Human activities have altered the natural and anthropogenic emissions of aerosol particles through direct emissions or indirectly by modifying natural sources. The climate effects of the latter have been largely overlooked. Humans have dramatically altered the land surface of the planet causing changes in natural aerosol emissions from vegetated areas. Regulation on anthropogenic and natural aerosol emissions have the potential to affect the climate on regional to global scales. Furthermore, the regional climate effects of aerosol particles could potentially be very different than the ones caused by other climate forcers (e.g. well mixed greenhouse gases). The main objective of this work was to investigate the climatic effects of land use and air pollution via aerosol changes.

    Using numerical model simulations it was found that land use changes in the past millennium have likely caused a positive radiative forcing via aerosol climate interactions. The forcing is an order of magnitude smaller and has an opposite sign than the radiative forcing caused by direct aerosol emissions changes from other human activities. The results also indicate that future reductions of fossil fuel aerosols via air quality regulations may lead to an additional warming of the planet by mid-21st century and could also cause an important Arctic amplification of the warming. In addition, the mean position of the intertropical convergence zone and the Asian monsoon appear to be sensitive to aerosol emission reductions from air quality regulations. For these reasons, climate mitigation policies should take into consideration aerosol air pollution, which has not received sufficient attention in the past.

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  • 4.
    Addassi, Mouadh
    et al.
    Technical University of Denmark, Denmark.
    Schreyer, Lynn
    Washington State University, USA.
    Johannesson, Björn
    Linnaeus University, Faculty of Technology, Department of Building Technology.
    Lin, Hai
    University of Colorado Denver, USA.
    Pore-scale modeling of vapor transport in partially saturated capillary tube with variable area using chemical potential2016In: Water resources research, ISSN 0043-1397, E-ISSN 1944-7973, Vol. 52, no 9, p. 7023-7035Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Here we illustrate the usefulness of using the chemical potential as the primary unknown by modeling isothermal vapor transport through a partially saturated cylindrically symmetric capillary tube of variable cross-sectional area using a single equation. There are no fitting parameters and the numerical solutions to the equation are compared with experimental results with excellent agreement. We demonstrate that isothermal vapor transport can be accurately modeled without modeling the details of the contact angle, microscale temperature fluctuations, or pressure fluctuations using a modification of the Fick-Jacobs equation. We thus conclude that for a single, axisymmetric pore, the enhancement factor depends upon relative humidity boundary conditions at the liquid bridge interfaces, distance between liquid bridges, and bridge lengths.

  • 5. Addor, Nans
    et al.
    Rössler, Ole
    Köplin, Nina
    Huss, Matthias
    Weingartner, Rolf
    Seibert, Jan
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Robust changes and sources of uncertainty in the projected hydrological regimes of Swiss catchments2014In: Water resources research, ISSN 0043-1397, E-ISSN 1944-7973, Vol. 50, no 10, p. 7541-7562Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Projections of discharge are key for future water resources management. These projections are subject to uncertainties, which are difficult to handle in the decision process on adaptation strategies. Uncertainties arise from different sources such as the emission scenarios, the climate models and their postprocessing, the hydrological models, and the natural variability. Here we present a detailed and quantitative uncertainty assessment, based on recent climate scenarios for Switzerland (CH2011 data set) and covering catchments representative for midlatitude alpine areas. This study relies on a particularly wide range of discharge projections resulting from the factorial combination of 3 emission scenarios, 10–20 regional climate models, 2 postprocessing methods, and 3 hydrological models of different complexity. This enabled us to decompose the uncertainty in the ensemble of projections using analyses of variance (ANOVA). We applied the same modeling setup to six catchments to assess the influence of catchment characteristics on the projected streamflow, and focused on changes in the annual discharge cycle. The uncertainties captured by our setup originate mainly from the climate models and natural climate variability, but the choice of emission scenario plays a large role by the end of the 21st century. The contribution of the hydrological models to the projection uncertainty varied strongly with catchment elevation. The discharge changes were compared to the estimated natural decadal variability, which revealed that a climate change signal emerges even under the lowest emission scenario (RCP2.6) by the end of the century. Limiting emissions to RCP2.6 levels would nevertheless reduce the largest regime changes by the end of the century by approximately a factor of two, in comparison to impacts projected for the high emission scenario SRES A2. We finally show that robust regime changes emerge despite the projection uncertainty. These changes are significant and are consistent across a wide range of scenarios and catchments. We propose their identification as a way to aid decision making under uncertainty.

  • 6.
    Adem Esmail, Blal
    et al.
    Department of Civil, Environmental, and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Via Mesiano 77, Trento, 38123, Italy.
    Geneletti, Davide
    Department of Civil, Environmental, and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Via Mesiano 77, 38123 Trento, Italy.
    Design and impact assessment of watershed investments: An approach based on ecosystem services and boundary work.2017In: Environmental impact assessment review, ISSN 0195-9255, E-ISSN 1873-6432, Vol. 62, p. 1-13Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Watershed investments, whose main aim is to secure water for cities, represent a promising opportunity for large-scale sustainability transitions in the near future. If properly designed, they promote activities in the watershed that enhance ecosystem services while protecting nature and biodiversity, as well as achieving other societal goals. In this paper, we build on the concepts of ecosystem services and boundary work, to develop and test an operative approach for designing and assessing the impact of watershed investments. The approach is structured to facilitate negotiations among stakeholders. Its strategic component includes setting the agenda; defining investment scenarios; and assessing the performance of watershed investments as well as planning for a follow-up. Its technical component concerns data processing; tailoring spatially explicit ecosystem service models; hence their application to design a set of “investment portfolios”, generate future land use scenarios, and model impacts on selected ecosystem services. A case study illustrates how the technical component can be developed in a data scarce context in sub-Saharan Africa in a way that is functional to support the steps of the strategic component. The case study addresses soil erosion and water scarcity-related challenges affecting Asmara, a medium-sized city in Eritrea, and considers urban water security and rural poverty alleviation as two illustrative objectives, within a ten-year planning horizon. The case study results consist in spatially explicit data (investment portfolio, land use scenario, impact on ecosystem services), which were aggregated to quantitatively assess the performance of different watershed investments scenarios, in terms of changes in soil erosion control. By addressing stakeholders' concerns of credibility, saliency, and legitimacy, the approach is expected to facilitate negotiation of objectives, definition of scenarios, and assessment of alternative watershed investments, ultimately, to contribute to implementing an adaptive watershed management.

  • 7. Aggarwal, Pradeep K.
    et al.
    Romatschke, Ulrike
    Araguas-Araguas, Luis
    Belachew, Dagnachew
    Longstaffe, Frederick J.
    Berg, Peter
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Schumacher, Courtney
    Funk, Aaron
    Proportions of convective and stratiform precipitation revealed in water isotope ratios2016In: Nature Geoscience, ISSN 1752-0894, E-ISSN 1752-0908, Vol. 9, no 8, p. 624-+Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 8.
    Ahlberg, Jesper
    et al.
    KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Land and Water Resources Engineering, Environmental Physics.
    Gustafsson, David
    KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Land and Water Resources Engineering, Environmental Physics.
    Distributed snow modelling integrating ground penetrating radar data for improved runoff predictions in a Swedish mountain basin2009In: EGU General Assembly 2009, 2009Conference paper (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Operational forecasts of snow melt runoff in Sweden are currently running with precipitation and temperature as the main input variables and calibrated with runoff data, and there is an interest to make better use of new measurement systems for distributed snow data. At the same time, various data assimilation techniques are becoming more frequently used in hydrological modeling, in order to reduce uncertainties related to both model structure errors and errors in input and calibration data. Thus, it is important to address not only what type of snow data that can be used to improve the model predictions, but also what type of input data and model structures that are optimal in relation to the available snow data. The objective of this study is to investigate to what extent the runoff predictions can be improved by assimilation of temporal and spatially distributed snow data, and if the improvements depend on the choice of model structures, for instance the use of energy balance or day-degree snow models. In order to achieve these objectives a new distributed snow model has been implemented into the hydrological modeling framework HYSS/HYPE. This model can easily be setup with either an energy balance model or a day-degree model for the snow pack calculations, and it is easy to run the model with different spatial resolutions. In the fully distributed case, snow drift processes are implicitly included in the model through a precipitation distribution model, based on topographical information and wind direction. The model was applied to a mountain basin in northern Sweden used for hydropower production, where extensive snow measurements were taken during the last two winters 2007-2009. A climate station is located at the outlet of the regulation lake, including automated point measurements of snow depth, snow mass (snow pillow), snow wetness and snow temperature. Distributed snow cover data was sampled using ground-penetrating radar from snow mobiles. Measurements were taken at the time of the maximum snow cover, providing a data set with snow depth, snow density, snow water equivalent along 20 km long transects in representative areas of the basin. The precipitation distribution model was calibrated using the distributed SWE data from the GPR measurements. Application of the calibrated model to previous years without available snow data show that the runoff predictions was improved compared to calibrations without the distributed snow data, however the improvements were larger for the energy balance compared to the day-degree model. Further developments will include assimilation of the temporal and spatial snow data to adjust the distribution of various input variables, for instance air temperature and wind speed.

  • 9.
    Ahlberg, Jesper
    et al.
    KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Land and Water Resources Engineering, Environmental Physics.
    Gustafsson, David
    KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Land and Water Resources Engineering, Environmental Physics.
    Snow melt runoff simulations using ensemble Kalman filter assimilation of distributed snow data2010Conference paper (Other academic)
  • 10. Ahlers, R.
    et al.
    Cleaver, F
    Rusca, Maria
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Schwartz, K.
    Unleashing Entrepreneurs or Controlling Unruly Providers?: The Formalisation of Small-scale Water Providers in Greater Maputo, Mozambique2013In: Journal of Development Studies, ISSN 0022-0388, E-ISSN 1743-9140, Vol. 49, no 4, p. 470-482Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The existing legal and policy framework regulating water service provision in Greater Maputo, Mozambique appears fixated on the official service areas. In doing so it inadequately addresses the geographically varied service provision modalities which characterise the city. We argue that the predominant legal and policy framework does little to support development of improved services in areas unserved by the formal utility. Although ad hoc measures recognising small-scale providers as a temporary alternative to service provision by a formal utility have been implemented, these measures appear designed to increase control over these providers rather than support the service delivery capacity of small-scale providers.

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  • 11.
    Ahlgren, Joakim
    et al.
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Umeå Marine Sciences Centre (UMF). The Swedish Institute for the Marine Environment, PO Box 260, SE-40530 Göteborg, Sweden.
    Grimvall, Anders
    Omstedt, Anders
    Rolff, Carl
    Wikner, Johan
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Umeå Marine Sciences Centre (UMF). The Swedish Institute for the Marine Environment, PO Box 260, SE-40530 Göteborg, Sweden.
    Temperature, DOC level and basin interactions explain the declining oxygen concentrations in the Bothnian Sea2017In: Journal of Marine Systems, ISSN 0924-7963, E-ISSN 1879-1573, Vol. 170, p. 22-30Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Hypoxia and oxygen deficient zones are expanding worldwide. To properly manage this deterioration of the marine environment, it is important to identify the causes of oxygen declines and the influence of anthropogenic activities. Here, we provide a study aiming to explain the declining oxygen levels in the deep waters of the Bothnian Sea over the past 20 years by investigating data from environmental monitoring programmes. The observed decline in oxygen concentrations in deep waters was found to be primarily a consequence of water temperature increase and partly caused by an increase in dissolved organic carbon (DOC) in the seawater (R-Adj(2). = 0.83) as well as inflow from the adjacent sea basin. As none of the tested eutrophication-related predictors were significant according to a stepwise multiple regression, a regional increase in nutrient inputs to the area is unlikely to explain a significant portion of the oxygen decline. Based on the findings of this study, preventing the development of anoxia in the deep water of the Bothnian Sea is dependent on the large-scale measures taken to reduce climate change. In addition, the reduction of the nutrient load to the Baltic Proper is required to counteract the development of hypoxic and phosphate-rich water in the Baltic Proper, which can form deep water in the Bothnian Sea. The relative importance of these sources to oxygen consumption is difficult to determine from the available data, but the results clearly demonstrate the importance of climate related factors such as temperature, DOC and inflow from adjacent basins for the oxygen status of the sea.

  • 12.
    Ahlkrona, Malva
    SMHI.
    Phospherous in a Biogeochemical Lake Model2002Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    BIOLA isa biogeochemical lake model within the V ASTRA research programme. The model's

    main purpose is to predict the ecological responses to changed nutrient loads. The phosphorus simulations were not satisfactory and the sediment was thought to be the critical part. The aim of this work was to improve the phosphorus simulations. Therefore a new sediment approach has been developed. Three main changes of the sediment processes were carried through:

    • Resuspension of sediments from erosion and transportation bottoms was added

    • The sediments were divided into an upper, aerobic, and a lower, anaerobic, layer

    • The relation between sorbed and dissolved phosphorus in the sediments was described by

    Langmuir isotherms, with a sorption 2.5 times higher at aerobic compared to anaerobic

    conditions

    The modelling of total phosphorus and blue-green algae was improved. Especially the timing of high concentration peaks was much better. One problem still lingering is the modelled oxygen levels, which were much higher than the observed levels. Therefore the model has not been tested for anaerobic conditions. A verage release rates from the sediments were 2.5 mg Pa-1 <luring the summer, which is reasonable. A 20-year simulation of step-response was run with increased and decreased nutrient loads. Roughly four years after the change, the model had reached a new equilibrium.

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  • 13.
    Ahmed, Rafiq
    Linköping University, The Tema Institute, Department of Water and Environmental Studies.
    Seasonal Variation of Inorganic Nutrients (DSi, DIN and DIP) Concentration in Swedish River2007Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Magister), 20 points / 30 hpStudent thesis
    Abstract [en]

    Rivers have been playing most important role as fresh water source and medium of nutrient transportation from terrestrial to aquatic ecosystem. Inorganic form of nutrients (DSi, DIN and DIP) are plant available mostly control the productivity of aquatic ecosystem. Transfer of these nutrients in higher concentrations cause harmful eutrophication in receiving water body.

    Study of dissolved inorganic nutrients concentrations in 12 Swedish rivers of different basin characteristics demonstrated both similar and varying behaviour from river to river and from season to season depending on catchment hydrology; land use and geology. Highest concentration did not coincide with the highest runoff. High DSi concentration observed in the unperturbed rivers however, high DIN and DIP concentration observed in agriculture dominated river followed by river basin dominated by industrial and urban activities. DSi and DIN concentration observed high in winter and decreased through spring to reach lowest in summer. DIP concentration although found low in summer but high concentration observed in early spring and early autumn. Rivers with low average runoff positively correlated with DSi and DIN concentration however, DIP demonstrated weak correlation.

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  • 14. Aich, Valentin
    et al.
    Liersch, Stefan
    Vetter, Tobias
    Andersson, Jafet
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Mueller, Eva N.
    Hattermann, Fred F.
    Climate or Land Use?-Attribution of Changes in River Flooding in the Sahel Zone2015In: Water, ISSN 2073-4441, E-ISSN 2073-4441, Vol. 7, no 6, p. 2796-2820Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    This study intends to contribute to the ongoing discussion on whether land use and land cover changes (LULC) or climate trends have the major influence on the observed increase of flood magnitudes in the Sahel. A simulation-based approach is used for attributing the observed trends to the postulated drivers. For this purpose, the ecohydrological model SWIM (Soil and Water Integrated Model) with a new, dynamic LULC module was set up for the Sahelian part of the Niger River until Niamey, including the main tributaries Sirba and Goroul. The model was driven with observed, reanalyzed climate and LULC data for the years 1950-2009. In order to quantify the shares of influence, one simulation was carried out with constant land cover as of 1950, and one including LULC. As quantitative measure, the gradients of the simulated trends were compared to the observed trend. The modeling studies showed that for the Sirba River only the simulation which included LULC was able to reproduce the observed trend. The simulation without LULC showed a positive trend for flood magnitudes, but underestimated the trend significantly. For the Goroul River and the local flood of the Niger River at Niamey, the simulations were only partly able to reproduce the observed trend. In conclusion, the new LULC module enabled some first quantitative insights into the relative influence of LULC and climatic changes. For the Sirba catchment, the results imply that LULC and climatic changes contribute in roughly equal shares to the observed increase in flooding. For the other parts of the subcatchment, the results are less clear but show, that climatic changes and LULC are drivers for the flood increase; however their shares cannot be quantified. Based on these modeling results, we argue for a two-pillar adaptation strategy to reduce current and future flood risk: Flood mitigation for reducing LULC-induced flood increase, and flood adaptation for a general reduction of flood vulnerability.

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  • 15. Aich, Valentin
    et al.
    Liersch, Stefan
    Vetter, Tobias
    Fournet, Samuel
    Andersson, Jafet
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Calmanti, Sandro
    van Weert, Frank H. A.
    Hattermann, Fred F.
    Paton, Eva N.
    Flood projections within the Niger River Basin under future land use and climate change2016In: Science of the Total Environment, ISSN 0048-9697, E-ISSN 1879-1026, Vol. 562, p. 666-677Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    This study assesses future flood risk in the Niger River Basin (NRB), for the first time considering the simultaneous effects of both projected climate change and land use changes. For this purpose, an ecohydrological process-based model (SWIM) was set up and validated for past climate and land use dynamics of the entire NRB. Model runs for future flood risks were conducted with an ensemble of 18 climate models, 13 of them dynamically downscaled from the CORDEX Africa project and five statistically downscaled Earth System Models. Two climate and two land use change scenarios were used to cover a broad range of potential developments in the region. Two flood indicators (annual 90th percentile and the 20-year return flood) were used to assess the future flood risk for the Upper, Middle and Lower Niger as well as the Benue. The modeling results generally show increases of flood magnitudes when comparing a scenario period in the near future (2021-2050) with a base period (1976-2005). Land use effects are more uncertain, but trends and relative changes for the different catchments of the NRB seem robust. The dry areas of the Sahelian and Sudanian regions of the basin show a particularly high sensitivity to climatic and land use changes, with an alarming increase of flood magnitudes in parts. A scenario with continuing transformation of natural vegetation into agricultural land and urbanization intensifies the flood risk in all parts of the NRB, while a "regreening" scenario can reduce flood magnitudes to some extent. Yet, land use change effects were smaller when compared to the effects of climate change. In the face of an already existing adaptation deficit to catastrophic flooding in the region, the authors argue for a mix of adaptation and mitigation efforts in order to reduce the flood risk in the NRB. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

  • 16. Akhtar, Naveed
    et al.
    Krug, Amelie
    Brauch, Jennifer
    Arsouze, Thomas
    Dieterich, Christian
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Ahrens, Bodo
    European marginal seas in a regional atmosphere-ocean coupled model and their impact on Vb-cyclones and associated precipitation2019In: Climate Dynamics, ISSN 0930-7575, E-ISSN 1432-0894, Vol. 53, no 9-10, p. 5967-5984Article in journal (Refereed)
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  • 17. Akselsson, Cecilia
    et al.
    Olsson, Jonas
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Belyazid, Salim
    Capell, Réne
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Can increased weathering rates due to future warming compensate for base cation losses following whole-tree harvesting in spruce forests?2016In: Biogeochemistry, ISSN 0168-2563, E-ISSN 1573-515X, Vol. 128, no 1-2, p. 89-105Article in journal (Refereed)
  • 18. Ala-aho, P.
    et al.
    Soulsby, C.
    Pokrovsky, O. S.
    Kirpotin, S. N.
    Karlsson, Jan
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences.
    Serikova, Svetlana
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences.
    Manasypov, R.
    Lim, A.
    Krickov, I.
    Kolesnichenko, L. G.
    Laudon, H.
    Tetzlaff, D.
    Permafrost and lakes control river isotope composition across a boreal Arctic transect in the Western Siberian lowlands2018In: Environmental Research Letters, ISSN 1748-9326, E-ISSN 1748-9326, Vol. 13, no 3, p. =20-=20, article id 034028Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The Western Siberian Lowlands (WSL) store large quantities of organic carbon that will be exposed and mobilized by the thawing of permafrost. The fate of mobilized carbon, however, is not well understood, partly because of inadequate knowledge of hydrological controls in the region which has a vast low-relief surface area, extensive lake and wetland coverage and gradually increasing permafrost influence. We used stable water isotopes to improve our understanding of dominant landscape controls on the hydrology of the WSL. We sampled rivers along a 1700 km South-North transect from permafrost-free to continuous permafrost repeatedly over three years, and derived isotope proxies for catchment hydrological responsiveness and connectivity. We found correlations between the isotope proxies and catchment characteristics, suggesting that lakes and wetlands are intimately connected to rivers, and that permafrost increases the responsiveness of the catchment to rainfall and snowmelt events, reducing catchment mean transit times. Our work provides rare isotope-based field evidence that permafrost and lakes/wetlands influence hydrological pathways across a wide range of spatial scales (10-105 km2) and permafrost coverage (0%-70%). This has important implications, because both permafrost extent and lake/wetland coverage are affected by permafrost thaw in the changing climate. Changes in these hydrological landscape controls are likely to alter carbon export and emission via inland waters, which may be of global significance.

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  • 19. Ala-aho, P.
    et al.
    Soulsby, C.
    Pokrovsky, O. S.
    Kirpotin, S. N.
    Karlsson, Jan
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences.
    Serikova, Svetlana
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences.
    Vorobyev, S. N.
    Manasypov, R. M.
    Loiko, S.
    Tetzlaff, D.
    Using stable isotopes to assess surface water source dynamics and hydrological connectivity in a high-latitude wetland and permafrost influenced landscape2018In: Journal of Hydrology, ISSN 0022-1694, E-ISSN 1879-2707, Vol. 556, p. 279-293Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Climate change is expected to alter hydrological and biogeochemical processes in high-latitude inland waters. A critical question for understanding contemporary and future responses to environmental change is how the spatio-temporal dynamics of runoff generation processes will be affected. We sampled stable water isotopes in soils, lakes and rivers on an unprecedented spatio-temporal scale along a 1700 km transect over three years in the Western Siberia Lowlands. Our findings suggest that snowmelt mixes with, and displaces, large volumes of water stored in the organic soils and lakes to generate runoff during the thaw season. Furthermore, we saw a persistent hydrological connection between water bodies and the landscape across permafrost regions. Our findings help to bridge the understanding between small and large scale hydrological studies in high-latitude systems. These isotope data provide a means to conceptualise hydrological connectivity in permafrost and wetland influenced regions, which is needed for an improved understanding of future biogeochemical changes.

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  • 20.
    Aldama Campino, Aitor
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Meteorology .
    Atmospheric and oceanic circulation from a thermodynamic perspective2019Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    The climate system is continuously transporting and exchanging heat, freshwater, carbon and other tracers in different spatio-temporal scales. Therefore, analysing the system from a thermodynamic or biogeochemical framework is highly convenient. In this thesis the interaction between the ocean and the atmospheric circulation is analysed using thermodynamical and biogeochemical coordinates. Due to the dimensionality of the climate system stream functions are used to reduce this complexity and facilitate the understanding of the different processes that take place. The first half of this thesis, focuses on the interaction between the atmospheric and the ocean circulation from a thermodynamic perspective. We introduce the hydrothermohaline stream function which combines the atmospheric circulation in humidity-potential temperature (hydrothermal) space and the ocean circulation in salinity-temperature coordinates (thermohaline). A scale factor of 7.1 is proposed to link humidity and salinity coordinates. Future scenarios are showing an increase of humidity in the atmosphere due to the increase of temperatures which results in a widening of the hydrothermal stream function along the humidity coordinate. In a similar way, the ocean circulation in the thermohaline space expands along the salinity coordinate. The link between salinity and humidity changes is strongest at net evaporation regions where the gain of water vapour in the atmosphere results in a salinification in the ocean. In addition, the ocean circulation in latitude-carbon space is investigated. By doing so, we are able to distinguish the roles of different water masses and circulation pathways for ocean carbon. We find that the surface waters in the subtropical gyres are the main drivers of the meridional carbon transport in the ocean. By separating the carbon in its different constituents we show that the carbon transported by the majority of the water masses is a result of the solubility pump. The contribution of the biological pump is predominant in the deep Pacific Ocean. The effects of the Mediterranean Overflow Waters on the North Atlantic are discussed in the final part of the thesis.

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  • 21. Alda-Vidal, C.
    et al.
    Kooy, M.
    Rusca, Maria
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Mapping operation and maintenance: an everyday urbanism analysis of inequalities within piped water supply in Lilongwe, Malawi2018In: Urban Geography, Vol. 39, no 1, p. 104-121Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    In this article, we analyze the production of inequalities within the centralized water supply network of Lilongwe. We use a process-based analysis to understand how urban infrastructure is made to work and explain the disparity in levels of service by tracing the everyday practices of those who operate the infrastructure. This extends existing analyses of everyday practices in relation to urban water inequalities in African cities by focusing on formal operators, rather than water users, and looking within the networked system, rather than outside it. Our findings show that these practices work to exacerbate existing water stress in poor areas of the city. We conclude with a reflection on how understanding these practices as the product of the perceptions, rationalizations, and interpretations of utility staff who seek to manage the city’s (limited) water as best they can offers insight into what is required for a more progressive urban water politics.

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  • 22. Alda-Vidal, C.
    et al.
    Rusca, Maria
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Zwarteveen, M.
    Schwartz, K.
    Pouw, N.
    Occupational genders and gendered occupations: the case of water provisioning in Maputo, Mozambique2017In: Gender, Place and Culture: A Journal of Feminist Geography, ISSN 0966-369X, E-ISSN 1360-0524, Vol. 24, no 7, p. 974-990Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Taking issue with how associations between technical prowess or entrepreneurship and masculinity tend to be taken for granted or are seen as stemming from natural or intrinsic gender differences, over the last two decades feminist scholars have developed theoretical approaches to understand the gendering of professions and abilities as the performative outcome of particular cultures and histories. We build on these insights to explore how associations between masculinities, technology and entrepreneurship shape ideas and practices of small-scale water provision in Maputo. Our findings show how activities (i.e. technical craftsmanship, hard physical work) or abilities (i.e. risk-taking, innovativeness) regarded as masculine tend to be considered the defining features of the profession. This shapes how men and women make sense of and talk about their work, each of them tactically emphasizing and performing those aspects best fitting their gender. Our detailed documentation of men’s and women’s everyday involvements in water provisioning challenges the existence of sharp boundaries and distinctions between genders and professional responsibilities. It shows that water provisioning requires many other types of work and skills and male and female household members collaborate and share their work. The strong normative-cultural associations between gender and water provisioning lead to a distinct under-recognition of women’s importance as water providers. We conclude that strategies to effectively support small-scale water businesses while creating more space and power for women involved in the business require the explicit recognition and re-conceptualization of water provisioning as a household business.

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  • 23. Alekseeva, I.
    et al.
    Jarsjö, Jerker
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology.
    Schrum, C.
    Destouni, Georgia
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology.
    Reconstruction of historic changes of the Aral Sea water budget and sea-groundwater interactions by a coupled 3D sea-ice-groundwater model2007In: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 9, 10629, 2007, 2007Conference paper (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    A 3D coupled sea-ice-groundwater model has been developed and applied for an estimation of the water balance and groundwater-seawater interactions in the shrinking Aral Sea. The model developed combines the complete 3D sea-ice hydrodynamics model ECOSMO, including a mass and energy conserving wetting and drying scheme, and a simple groundwater model based on changes in hydraulic gradient in response to the sea surface variability. During the simulation period 1979-1993, the model successfully reproduced the rapid Aral Sea level drop, surface area decrease, coastline position changes and salinization. Model predictions of evaporation and groundwater inflow were also consistent with independent estimations. Model results indicated that within the 15 years period of simulations the net groundwater inflow to the Aral Sea might have increased by 10% or more as a direct effect of the sea level lowering.

    Furthermore, model scenario tests were carried out to examine effects of salinity on sea hydrodynamics and to estimate non-linear feedbacks of the sea thermo- and hydrodynamics, air-sea turbulent fluxes and the sea water balance. It was shown that a neglect of salinity in the sea hydro- and thermo dynamics resulted in considerable differences in the Aral Sea winter thermal conditions, which in turn influenced the air-sea exchange in the following spring and summer. As a result, the zero salinity scenario predicted higher evaporation rates and an considerably accelerated sea level lowering by up to 2 cm/yr, in comparison with the basic model run. An indirect influence of the fresh groundwater inflow in terms of water balance has been identified as less significant, however it was shown that the fresh groundwater input could influence the Aral Sea salinity distribution considerably since 1990’s.

  • 24.
    Alfieri, Lorenzo
    et al.
    European Commiss Joint Res Ctr, TP 122,Via E Fermi 2749, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy.
    Feyen, Luc
    European Commiss Joint Res Ctr, TP 122,Via E Fermi 2749, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy.
    Di Baldassarre, Giuliano
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Increasing flood risk under climate change: a pan-European assessment of the benefits of four adaptation strategies2016In: Climatic Change, Vol. 136, no 3, p. 507-521Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Future flood risk in Europe is likely to increase due to a combination of climatic and socio-economic drivers. Effective adaptation strategies need to be implemented to limit the impact of river flooding on population and assets. This research builds upon a recently developed flood risk assessment framework at European scale to explore the benefits of adaptation against extreme floods. The effect of implementing four different adaptation measures is simulated in the modeling framework. Measures include the rise of flood protections, reduction of the peak flows through water retention, reduction of vulnerability and relocation to safer areas. Their sensitivity is assessed in several configurations under a high-end global warming scenario over the time range 1976-2100. Results suggest that the future increase in expected damage and population affected by river floods can be compensated through different configurations of adaptation measures. The adaptation efforts should favor measures targeted at reducing the impacts of floods, rather than trying to avoid them. Conversely, adaptation plans only based on rising flood protections have the effect of reducing the frequency of small floods and exposing the society to less-frequent but catastrophic floods and potentially long recovery processes.

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  • 25.
    Alfonso, L.
    et al.
    UNESCO IHE Inst Water Educ, Integrated Water Syst & Governance, Delft, Netherlands..
    Mukolwe, M. M.
    UNESCO IHE Inst Water Educ, Integrated Water Syst & Governance, Delft, Netherlands.;Masinde Muliro Univ Sci & Technol, Estates Dept, Kakamega, Kenya..
    Di Baldassarre, Giuliano
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Probabilistic Flood Maps to support decision-making: Mapping the Value of Information2016In: Water resources research, ISSN 0043-1397, E-ISSN 1944-7973, Vol. 52, no 2, p. 1026-1043Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Floods are one of the most frequent and disruptive natural hazards that affect man. Annually, significant flood damage is documented worldwide. Flood mapping is a common preimpact flood hazard mitigation measure, for which advanced methods and tools (such as flood inundation models) are used to estimate potential flood extent maps that are used in spatial planning. However, these tools are affected, largely to an unknown degree, by both epistemic and aleatory uncertainty. Over the past few years, advances in uncertainty analysis with respect to flood inundation modeling show that it is appropriate to adopt Probabilistic Flood Maps (PFM) to account for uncertainty. However, the following question arises; how can probabilistic flood hazard information be incorporated into spatial planning? Thus, a consistent framework to incorporate PFMs into the decision-making is required. In this paper, a novel methodology based on Decision-Making under Uncertainty theories, in particular Value of Information (VOI) is proposed. Specifically, the methodology entails the use of a PFM to generate a VOI map, which highlights floodplain locations where additional information is valuable with respect to available floodplain management actions and their potential consequences. The methodology is illustrated with a simplified example and also applied to a real case study in the South of France, where a VOI map is analyzed on the basis of historical land use change decisions over a period of 26 years. Results show that uncertain flood hazard information encapsulated in PFMs can aid decision-making in floodplain planning.

  • 26.
    Alfonso, Leonardo
    et al.
    IHE-Delft.
    Ridolfi, Elena
    Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
    Gaytan-Aguilar, Sandra
    Deltares, Rotterdamseweg 185, Delft 2629 HD, Netherlands.
    Napolitano, Francesco
    Sapienza University of Rome.
    Russo, Fabio
    Sapienza University of Rome.
    Ensemble entropy for monitoring network design2014In: Entropy, ISSN 1099-4300, E-ISSN 1099-4300, Vol. 16, no 3, p. 1365-1375Article in journal (Refereed)
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  • 27.
    Algesten, Grete
    et al.
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences.
    Wikner, Johan
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences. Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Umeå Marine Sciences Centre (UMF).
    Sobek, Sobek
    Department of Limnology, Evolutionary Biology Centre, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden .
    Tranvik, Lars T.
    Department of Limnology, Evolutionary Biology Centre, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden .
    Jansson, Mats
    Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences.
    Seasonal variation of CO2 saturation in the Gulf of Bothnia: Indications of marine net heterotrophy2004In: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, ISSN 0886-6236, E-ISSN 1944-9224, Vol. 18, p. 4021-4028Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Seasonal variation of pCO2 and primary and bacterioplankton production were measured in the Gulf of Bothnia during an annual cycle. Surface water was supersaturated with CO2 on an annual basis, indicating net heterotrophy and a source of CO2 to the atmosphere. However, the Gulf of Bothnia oscillated between being a sink and a source of CO2 over the studied period, largely decided by temporal variation in bacterial respiration (BR) and primary production (PP) in the water column above the pycnocline. The calculated annual respiration-production balance (BR-PP) was very similar to the estimated CO2 emission from the Gulf of Bothnia, which indicates that these processes were major determinants of the exchange of CO2 between water and atmosphere. The southern basin (the Bothnian Sea) had a lower net release of CO2 to the atmosphere than the northern Bothnian Bay (7.1 and 9.7 mmol C m−2 d−1, respectively), due to higher primary production, which to a larger extent balanced respiration in this basin.

  • 28.
    Algotsson, Josefina
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Edman, Moa
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Förslag till statusklassning av parameter 9.5 Sötvatteninflöde och vattenutbyte i kustvatten och vatten i övergångszon: En jämförelse mellan Kustzonsmodellens naturliga och normala uppsättning2019Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    Around half of Sweden's electricity generation consists of hydropower, which is produced in about 2000 power plants. The largest drainage of water from land takes place during the spring and the water is stored in reservoirs for electricity production during the winter. This change in the natural runoff has major effects on the aquatic ecosystems and is considered to be one of the biggest environmental challenges for Swedish waterways and lakes.There is currently no guidance for status classification of hydromorphological parameters in coastal waters according to the Water Framework Directive. SMHI was commissioned by the water authorities to produce a proposal for class boundaries and classification for parameter 9.5 Freshwater inflow and water exchange in coastal water and water in transition zone in accordance with the regulations stated by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management in the document HVMFS 2013:19. The hydrological model S-HYPE and the oceanographic Coastal Zone Model were used to study the changes in fresh water supply as well as fresh water content, salinity and water age of the surface water caused by regulation of water flow on land.In general, the regulation of water flow on land has led to an increase in the fresh water content by 2% along the Norrlands coast and a corresponding decrease in the fresh water content on the west coast. Typically, the regulation of water on land leads to a lower freshwater supply to the coast during spring and summer and a higher freshwater supply to the coast in the autumn and winter compared to a scenario with a natural land runoff.The natural background variation, as defined by ± 2 MAD (Median Absolute Deviation), and the Maximum Absolute Deviation, MAA, were used to construct 5 status classes.

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  • 29.
    Algotsson, Josefina
    et al.
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Van Der Stelt, Frank
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Abdoush, Diala
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Swedish coastal water bodies on Wikidata Combining WFD data with Wikidata2019Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    In accordance with the Water Framework Directive, the water district authorities report environmental information on Sweden’s surface water bodies to the EU.Under the government commission Smartare miljöinformation to the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, Naturvårdsverket, the initiative was taken to adopt the reported environmental information on Sweden’s coastal water bodies to Wikidata and Wikipedia. SMHI has led the initiative with support from Wikimedia Sweden, the South Baltic Sea Water District Authority, the county administrative board of Jönköping and Wikimedia volunteers.The aim of this project has been to make the environmental information about Sweden’s coastal water bodies more accessible to the public, to disseminate knowledge about status classification and create conditions for increasing environmental awareness among the public. The project has resulted in:• 653 new coastal water bodies are described on Wikidata.• Wikipedia articles on water management in Sweden, coastal water bodies and the SVAR database have been created.• A template for infoboxes on Wikipedia has been developed and can automatically retrieve and display the status classification of coastal water bodies.• The template for infoboxes on coastal water bodies is used in articles on coastal waters on Wikipedia.• The license for the SVAR database is set to CC0, which facilitates the use of the information and opens the possibility of using it in more ways than before.

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  • 30. Ali, A Md
    et al.
    Di Baldassarre, G
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Solomatine, Dimitri P
    Testing different cross-section spacing in 1D hydraulic modelling: A case study on Johor River, Malaysia2014In: Hydrological Sciences Journal, no just-acceptedArticle in journal (Refereed)
  • 31. Ali, Genevieve
    et al.
    Tetzlaff, Doerthe
    McDonnell, Jeffrey J.
    Soulsby, Chris
    Carey, Sean
    Laudon, Hjalmar
    McGuire, Kevin
    Buttle, Jim
    Seibert, Jan
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Shanley, Jamie
    Comparison of threshold hydrologic response across northern catchments2015In: Hydrological Processes, ISSN 0885-6087, E-ISSN 1099-1085, Vol. 29, no 16, p. 3575-3591Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Nine mid-latitude to high-latitude headwater catchments - part of the Northern Watershed Ecosystem Response to Climate Change (North-Watch) programme - were used to analyze threshold response to rainfall and snowmelt-driven events and link the different responses to the catchment characteristics of the nine sites. The North-Watch data include daily time-series of various lengths of multiple variables such as air temperature, precipitation and discharge. Rainfall and meltwater inputs were differentiated using a degree-day snowmelt approach. Distinct hydrological events were identified, and precipitation-runoff response curves were visually assessed. Results showed that eight of nine catchments showed runoff initiation thresholds and effective precipitation input thresholds. For rainfall-triggered events, catchment hydroclimatic and physical characteristics (e.g. mean annual air temperature, median flow path distance to the stream, median sub-catchment area) were strong predictors of threshold strength. For snowmelt-driven events, however, thresholds and the factors controlling precipitation-runoff response were difficult to identify. The variability in catchments responses to snowmelt was not fully explained by runoff initiation thresholds and input magnitude thresholds. The quantification of input intensity thresholds (e.g. snow melting and permafrost thawing rates) is likely required for an adequate characterization of nonlinear spring runoff generation in such northern environments.

  • 32.
    Almroth-Rosell, Elin
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Edman, Moa
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Eilola, Kari
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Sahlberg, Jörgen
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Modelling nutrient retention in the coastal zone of an eutrophic sea2016In: Biogeosciences, ISSN 1726-4170, E-ISSN 1726-4189, Vol. 13, no 20, p. 5753-5769Article in journal (Refereed)
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  • 33.
    Almroth-Rosell, Elin
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Eilola, Kari
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Hordoir, Robinson
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Hall, Per O. J.
    Transport of fresh and resuspended particulate organic material in the Baltic Sea - a model study2011In: Journal of Marine Systems, ISSN 0924-7963, E-ISSN 1879-1573, Vol. 87, no 1, p. 1-12Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    A fully coupled high-resolution 3-dimensional biogeochemical-physical ocean model including an empirical wave model was used to investigate the long-term average (1970-2007) distributions and transports of resuspended matter and other types of suspended organic matter in the Baltic Sea. Modelled bottom types were compared to observations and the results showed that the model successfully managed to capture the horizontal, as well as the vertical, distribution of the different bottom types: accumulation, transport and erosion bottoms. The model also captured well the nutrient element contents in the sediments. On average the largest contribution of resuspended organic carbon to the transport of total organic carbon is found at erosion and transport bottoms. Although the relative transport of resuspended organic carbon at deeper accumulation bottoms in general is low (< 10% of total), the central parts of the sub-basins act on average as sinks that import organic matter while the more shallow areas and the coastal regions acts as sources of organic carbon in the water column. This indicates that the particulate organic matter produced in erosion and transport areas might be kept in suspension long enough to be transported and settle in less energetic areas, i.e. on accumulation bottoms. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

  • 34.
    Almroth-Rosell, Elin
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Eilola, Kari
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Kuznetsov, Ivan
    Hall, Per O. J.
    Meier, Markus
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    A new approach to model oxygen dependent benthic phosphate fluxes in the Baltic Sea2015In: Journal of Marine Systems, ISSN 0924-7963, E-ISSN 1879-1573, Vol. 144, p. 127-141Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The new approach to model the oxygen dependent phosphate release by implementing formulations of the oxygen penetration depths (OPD) and mineral bound inorganic phosphorus pools to the Swedish Coastal and Ocean Biogeochemical model (SCOBI) is described. The phosphorus dynamics and the oxygen concentrations in the Baltic proper sediment are studied during the period 1980-2008 using SCOBI coupled to the 3D-Rossby Centre Ocean model. Model data are compared to observations from monitoring stations and experiments. The impact from oxygen consumption on the determination of the OPD is found to be largest in the coastal zones where also the largest OPD are found. In the deep water the low oxygen concentrations mainly determine the OPD. Highest modelled release rate of phosphate from the sediment is about 59 x 10(3) t P year(-1) and is found on anoxic sediment at depths between 60-150 m, corresponding to 17% of the Baltic proper total area. The deposition of organic and inorganic phosphorus on sediments with oxic bottom water is larger than the release of phosphorus, about 43 x 10(3) t P year(-1). For anoxic bottoms the release of total phosphorus during the investigated period is larger than the deposition, about 19 x 10(3) t P year(-1). In total the net Baltic proper sediment sink is about 23.7 x 10(3) t P year(-1). The estimated phosphorus sink efficiency of the entire Baltic Sea is on average about 83% during the period. (C) 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/).

  • 35.
    Almroth-Rosell, Elin
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Skogen, Morten D.
    A North Sea and Baltic Sea Model Ensemble Eutrophication Assessment2010In: Ambio, ISSN 0044-7447, E-ISSN 1654-7209, Vol. 39, no 1, p. 59-69Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    A method to combine observations and an ensemble of ecological models is suggested to produce a eutrophication assessment. Using threshold values and methodology from the Oslo and Paris Commissions (OSPAR) and the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM), four models are combined to assess eutrophication for the Baltic and North Seas for the year 2006. The assessment indicates that the entire southeastern part of the North Sea, the Kattegat, the Danish Straits, the Gulf of Finland, and the Gulf of Riga as well as parts of the Arkona Basin, the Bornholm Basin, and the Baltic proper may be classified as problem areas. The Bothnian Bay and parts of the Baltic proper, the Bornholm Basin, and the Arkona Basin are classified as potential problem areas. This method is a useful tool for the classification of eutrophication; however, the results depend on the threshold values, and further work is needed within both OSPAR and HELCOM to harmonize these values.

  • 36.
    Almroth-Rosell, Elin
    et al.
    SMHI, Research Department, Oceanography.
    Skogen, Morten
    Sehested Hansen, Ian
    DHI Water and Environments.
    Stipa, Tapani
    University of Helsinki.
    Niiranen, Susa
    Stockholm University.
    The Year 2006 An Environmental Status report of the North Sea, Skagerrak, Kattegat and the Baltic Sea2007In: BANSAI- The Baltic and North Sea marine environmental modelling Asessment Initaiative / [ed] the Nordic Council of Ministers’ Sea and Air Group, 2007Conference paper (Other academic)
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  • 37. Al-Yaarubi, A. H.
    et al.
    Pain, C. C.
    Grattoni, C. A.
    Zimmerman, Robert W.
    KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering, Land and Water Resources Engineering.
    Navier-Stokes Simulations of Fluid Flow Through a Rock Fracture2013In: Dynamic Fluids and Transport Through in Fractured Rock, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2013, p. 55-64Chapter in book (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    A surface profilometer was used to measure fracture profiles every 10 microns over the surfaces of a replica of a fracture in a red Permian sandstone, to within an accuracy of a few microns. These surface data were used as input to two finite element codes that solve the Navier-Stokes equations and the Reynolds equation, respectively. Numerical simulations of flow through these measured aperture fields were carried out at different values of the mean aperture, corresponding to different values of the relative roughness. Flow experiments were also conducted in casts of two regions of the fracture. At low Reynolds numbers, the Navier-Stokes simulations yielded transmissivities for the two fracture regions that were closer to the experimental values than were the values predicted by the lubrication model. In general, the lubrication model overestimated the transmissivity by an amount that varied as a function of the relative roughness, defined as the standard deviation of the aperture divided by the mean aperture. The initial deviations from linearity, for Reynolds numbers in the range 1-10, were consistent with the "weak inertia" model developed by Mei and Auriault for porous media, and with the results obtained computationally by Skjetne et al in 1999 on a two-dimensional self-affine fracture. In the regime 10 < Re < 40, both the computed and measured transmissivities could be fit very well to a Forchheimer-type equation, in which the additional pressure drop varies quadratically with the Reynolds number.

  • 38. Amaguchi, H.
    et al.
    Kawamura, A.
    Olsson, Jonas
    SMHI, Research Department, Hydrology.
    Takasaki, T.
    Development and testing of a distributed urban storm runoff event model with a vector-based catchment delineation2012In: Journal of Hydrology, ISSN 0022-1694, E-ISSN 1879-2707, Vol. 420, p. 205-215Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The recent advances in GIS technology as well as data availability open up new possibilities concerning urban storm runoff modeling. In this paper, a vector-based distributed storm event runoff model - the Tokyo Storm Runoff (TSR) model - is developed and tested for urban runoff analysis using two historical storm events. The set-up of this model is based on urban landscape GIS delineation that faithfully describes the complicated urban land use features in detail. The flow between single spatial elements is based on established hydraulic and hydrological models with equations that describe all aspects of storm runoff generation in an urban environment. The model was set up and evaluated for the small urban lower Ekota catchment in Tokyo Metropolis, Japan. No calibration or tuning was performed, but the general model formulation was used with standard parameter values obtained from the literature. The runoff response to two storm events were simulated; one minor event resulting only in a small-scale flood wave and one major event which inundated parts of the catchment. For both events, the simulated water levels closely reproduced the observed ones. For the major event, also the reported inundation area was well described by the model. It was also demonstrated how the model can be used to evaluate the flow conditions in specific components of the urban hydrological system, which facilitates e.g. evaluation of flood-preventive measures. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

  • 39.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Förstudie av ett nordiskt modellsystem för kemikaliespridning i vatten1988Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    SMHI har fått i uppdrag att studera ett befintligt system för spridning av kemikalier i vatten. Studierna utförs med syfte att skapa ett för nordiska behov användbart prognossystem vid olyckstillbud.

    Främst studeras U. S. Coast Guards beräkningssystem HACS, Hazard Assessment Computer System. Det är uppbyggt utifrån behov av att veta huruvida vattenintag i floder behöver stängas vid ett giftutsläpp, fiskodlingar skyddas och när koncentrationen nått låga nivåer i hela området.

    HACS-modellerna för vatten är ingående analyserade. De som nu finns i ett fungerande prognossystem har studerats, men även nyutvecklade modeller som inte är anpassade för det befintliga prognossystemet har betraktats .Det kanadensiska systemet TIPS har studerats något, liksom en sammanställning över EG-ländernas modeller.

    HACS-systemet i sin nuvarande form är inte tillämpbart i öppet vatten eller i kust- och skärgårdsområden. Systemet är främst utvecklat för floder och kan därför inte användas i havet där dynamiken är helt annorlunda .Ett spridningsförlopp i en flod använder sig av konstant ström i tid och rum, konstant vind, begränsande väggar på sidorna, sötvatten och ganska lätt kontrollerbara processer. I havet är dynamiken betydligt mera komplicerad och komplex. Vågor , vädersystem, strömmar som varierar kraftigt mellan olika djup, horisontella strömvariationer som ändras inom några 100-tals meter, tre-dimensionella virvelsystem av olika storlekar, varierande bottendjup, tidsvariationer som sker inom några timmar, olika densiteter på skilda djup är några av de mest grundläggande skillnaderna . Enskilda förlopp inom HACS kan ändå användas, såsom tex beräkningen av ett flytande ämnes utspridning på vattenytan de första timmarna. Teoretiska delar kan tas ur programmen och manualerna och användas i nya system. Särskilt gäller den här möjligheten de nyare programmen inom HACS-systemet , där teorin är mera långtgående och omfattande.

    Citat U. S . Coast Guard. "HACS kan vara ett extremt kraftfullt verktyg, när det handhas av en specialist, som kan formulera ett problem till HACS korrekt och därefter tolka de erhållna resultaten. Samtidigt kan systemet oavsiktligt användas helt felaktigt om det appliceras på situationer som ej var menade för tillämpning. Det finns ingen automatisk metod att hindra felanvändning, utan användaren måste vara rimligt insatt i metodiken bakom modellerna ."

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  • 40.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Isproppsförebyggande muddring och dess inverkan på strömmarna i Torneälven1992Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Bakgrund

    Muddring i Torneälvens mynningsområde studeras, som en möjlighet att minska risken för isproppsbildning och därmed risken för översvämning. Effekterna för strömmarna vid muddrad farled och en bruten isränna beräknas med en numerisk datormodell. Även effekterna av en muddrad grop i mynningen simuleras med modellen. Bedömning av förändrade sedimentationsmönster utförs liksom ändrad isproppsrisk.

    Endast mycket höga flöden betraktas, dvs 2 500 m3 /s och 3100 m3/s.

    Vid simuleringarna väljs en utbredning av havsisen, som man av erfarenhet vet förekommer då ispropp med översvämning inträffar. Likaså får isens tjocklek ett representativt värde, 80 cm. Olika vattenstånd i havet betraktas även.

    Beräkningsmodellen tar inte hänsyn till att vattnet tar en alternativ väg vid översvämning eller till effekterna av en ispropp. Det innebär att hastigheterna under isen blir för höga eftersom vattenmassor tvingas in under isen, som annars skulle svämma över landområden. Med dessa förenklingar erhålls en god uppfattning av de typiska effekter på strömmarna som de olika muddringsalternativen ger upphov till. Beräkningarna av strömmarna visar att hastigheterna i mynningen och huvudfåran är mycket höga; 2 - 4 m/ s.

    Strömförhållanden

    Muddrad farled

    Muddrad farled och bruten ränna medför att en betydligt större del av vattnet går genom rännan eftersom tvärsnittsytan ökar. Det medför att hastigheterna i hela övriga mynningsområdet minskar. På de grunda områdena på ömse sidor om farleden och norr om Selkäkari sker en kraftig minskning av hastigheterna. Vid lägre flöde och högre havsvattenstånd är den procentuella förändringen mindre.

    Muddrad grop

    En muddrad grop i mynningsområdet och samtidigt istäckt i havet innebär att i och omkring gropen erhålls lägre hastigheter i proportion till den ökade tvärsnittsytan.

    Ej islagd period

    Vid icke islagd tid medför den muddrade farleden att vattnet styrs till den muddrade rännan. Det blir något lägre hastigheter; 20 - 25 %, norr om Selkäkari. Hastigheterna på de grundare områdena på ömse sidor om rännan minskar något. Vid muddrad grop sker endast en hastighetssänkning vid gropen.

    Sedimentationsbedömningar

    Torneälvens mynningsområde domineras av sediment med mycket blandad kornstorlek, från silat till grus, och litet organiskt innehåll. Detta visar att mycket lite deposition och erosion förekommer (gäller relativt öppna vatten, inte grunda kanaler och vikar), De mindre mängder av grövre sediment (icke suspenderade) som älven för med sig deponeras strax efter att den mynnat, i beräkningsområdets norra del. Merparten av de sediment som älven för med sig deponeras söder om beräkningsområdet - i skärgården och havet därutanför.

    Muddrad ränna

    Detta muddringsalternativ leder till högre strömhastigheter än för nuvarande förhållanden i huvudströmfåran. Förhöjningen är dock så liten att det inte kommer leda till några erosionsproblem. Den lite starkare strömmen skulle hjälpa till att hålla rännan öppen (förutsatt att rännan ligger i linje med strömriktningen). Underhållsmuddring går dock inte att utesluta, som mest ungefär var 5 - 10 år.

    De minskade strömhastigheterna, i {åran norr om Selkäkari och Kraaseli skulle ha kunnat leda till depositionsproblem om det inte vore för att området är så grunt. Redan i dagens läge hålls sedimenten delvis i suspension av de vattenrörelser som vågor orsakar. Viss deposition, eller ökning av deposition, får man dock räkna med innanför Selkäkari - i värsta fall uppåt en centimeter per år.

    En följd, om än knappt märkbar vad gäller sedimentation, är att mer vatten följer huvudströmfåran om man muddrar en ränna, och då kommer mer suspenderat material föras ut i skärgården än tidigare.

    Lokal muddring

    Eftersom strömmarna bara förändras där den lokala muddringen eventuellt sker, kommer med stor sannolikhet ingen förändrad sedimentation ske i resten av mynningsområdet. De minskade strömhastigheterna i det lokala muddringsområdet kan tänkas leda till en ökad deposition av grövre sediment (sand/ grus). Det mesta av detta grövre material kommer dock liksom i nuvarande fall att fällas ut på bottnarna söder och sydväst därom, där strömhastigheterna avtar ordentligt. Den lokala muddringen sker i anslutning till två redan existerande "djuphål" (en och ett par meter djupare än omgivningen) som tydligen inte visar tendenser att fyllas igen. På grund av att sedimentationstakten på platsen är låg/ingen, att strömmarna trots muddring ändå kommer vara relativt höga, att strömmarna inte avtar ordentligt förrän söder om den tänkta lokala muddringen, och eftersom det redan finns fördjupningar, är det sannolikt att det muddrade hålet inte fylls i alls, ·. eller i långsam takt. Som mest kan underhållsmuddring uppskattningsvis behöva utföras var tionde år.

    lsproppsbedömning

    Vid muddrad farled och bruten isränna kan risk finnas för ispropp i rännan, speciellt där den byter riktning. Ispropp kan även bildas i isrännans öppning mot floden genom att isflak fastnar på de grundare områdena och successivt böjer av in mot rännan och sedan täpper igen denna. Muddrad grop ger lägre strömhastigheter i gropen vilket medför att isens vertikala utsträckning går något långsammare (på grund av lägre tryck) och den horisontella utbredningen ökar något. Båda muddringsförslagen bidrar var för sig till minskad risk för isproppsbildning.

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  • 41.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Oceanografiska förhållanden i Brofjorden i samband med kylvattenutsläpp i Trommekilen1989Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Vattenfall har för avsikt att lokalisera en restoljeförgasningsanläggning intill Scanraff i Brofjorden. SMHI har därför fått i uppdrag att utföra en utredning avseende de oceanografiska förhållandena i området.

    Anläggningen behöver kylvatten som tas in på cirka 15 meters djup i Trommekilen via en tub om 1.2 meter i diameter. Se kartan i figur 1. Därefter planeras det uppvärmda vattnet att ledas ut som ytvatten via en muddrad ränna. Kylvattenmängden är cirka 7.5 m3/s och temperaturstegringen genom processen är cirka 10°c .

    Studien behandlar dessutom ett ytintag i Trommekilen och utsläpp i Brofjordens mynning med hastigheten 1.5 m/s.

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  • 42.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Oceanografiska förhållanden utanför Vendelsöfjorden i samband med kylvattenutsläpp1990Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Vattenfall planerar ett naturgaseldat kraftverk utanför Vendelsöfjorden. Det är tänkt att anläggningen ska producera maximalt 700 MW och släppa ut 10 m3 kylvatten per sekund, som är uppvärmt 10 °c. Kylvattnet planeras att tas in nära bottnen och släppas ut i ytan.

    Strömmarna, i området mellan Vendelsöfjorden och den öppna kusten, är riktade in mot Vendelsöfjorden under 10 procent av tiden. En inåtgående ström, med en samtidig 1-2 km bred utåtgående ström intill kusten, råder under 30 procent av tiden. Vid resterande tillfällen är strömmen varierande eller sydgående.

    Den vertikala densitetsskiktningen är dominerad av salthaltens ökning från ytan och neråt. Skiktningen kan vara mycket kraftig med 14 promilles salthalt i ytan och 34 promille vid botten. Samma salthalt kan också förekomma i hela vattenmassan, då ligger värdena ofta mellan 18 och 21 promille.

    På sommaren förstärks densitetsskiktningen av att ytvattnet värms upp snabbare än bottenvattnet. Samma temperatur kan även råda ända ner till bottnen, eftersom här är grunt. Temperaturförändringen finns då på större djup, längre ut från kusten. Under november - mars kan det vara några grader varmare på 15 meters djup än i ytan.

    Om kylvattnet tas in nära botten på 15-17 meters djup och släpps ut i ytan kommer det att vara tyngre än sin omgivning under stor del av året. Vid de tillfällen när kylvattnet är lättare eller endast obetydligt tyngre än ytvattnet blandas det in i ytan mellan cirka O och 3 m djup, därmed blir den horisontella spridningen effektiv. Avdunstning, vind och vågor gör att övertemperaturen blir lägst vid spridning i ytan. När salthalten vid bottenintaget är hög blir kylvattnet betydligt tyngre än det omgivande ytvattnet. Det sjunker då ner till en nivå ovanför salthaltssprångskiktet, som ligger på 10-15 meters djup. Här ligger kylvattnet relativt koncentrerat, ty den vertikala blandningen är begränsad av vattnets skiktning.

    Kylvattnet från Ringhals kan, så här långt från källan, ha högst 1-2 °c övertemperatur i ett ytnära skikt. Detta kylvatten går norrut cirka 4 gånger av 10. Vid dessa tillfällen har kylvattnet från det planerade kraftverket antingen sjunkit ner i vattenmassorna och lagt sig på 5-10 meters djup eller så ligger det nära ytan. När strömmen går in mot Vendelsöfjorden och därmed mot nordost i hela området, vilket händer 1 gång av 10, ökar den sammanlagda ytan för l0 oc övertemperatur.

    Vid inåtgående ström längre ut och en sydvästgående smalare ström nära kusten, vilket inträffar 3 gånger av 10, kan en viss förstärkt effekt erhållas där kylvattenplymerna möts, sydväst om det planerade läget . Vid cirka hälften av dessa tillfällen ligger kylvattnet från båda kraftverken i ytan. Detta betyder i praktiken 15 procent av tiden.

    Lämpligt läge för kylvattenutsläppet är därför utefter en linje vinkelrätt ut från kusten. Läggs utsläppet nära kusten kan det under 15 % av tiden samverka i ytan med utsläppet från Ringhals. Aktuella övertemperaturer är högst 1-2 °c. Vid en placering cirka 2 km ut från kusten kommer det under 20 % av tiden att bli en förlängning av plymen från Ringhals.

    Avgörande för en snabb utspädning är den hastighet med vilken kylvattnet förs ut i havet. Lämpliga hastigheter kan vara 1 . 0-2 . 0 m/s.

    Vid sydgående ström samtidigt som kylvattnet från det planerade läget lägger sig i ytan, kan en mindre temperaturförhöjning erhållas vid intaget för Ringhals kylvatten.

    Kännedomen om vattenutbytet är begränsad. Vid svaga strömmar som skiftar riktning 1 gång per dygn eller oftare sker en viss ansamling av kylvatten i närområdet. Vid ström in mot Vendelsöfjorden kan högst 3-4 graders temperaturhöjning ske på de större djupen inne i fjorden alternativt maximalt 2 graders höjning från ytan till botten i hela fjorden. Ovanstående gäller vid sjunkande kylvatten.

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  • 43.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Spridning av kylvatten från Öresundsverket1987Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Ett antal olika spridningsförlopp från alternativa kylvattenutsläpp har beräknats. Resultaten ger information om övertemperaturen i ytskiktet och vilka områden som berörs. Utsläpp har studerats från nuvarande läge, här benämnt läge 1 och som ligger 1 km uppströms Sege å, från läge 2 något utanför Sege ås mynning, från läge 3 vid mynningen av kommunens avlopp och läge 4 strax utanför Malmö Hamns planerade utfyllnad, etapp 2 . Volymflödena har varierat mellan 10 och 30 m3/s och övertemperaturen har initialt varit 100c. Fyra olika typiska strömningsmönster har legat till grund för den mer storskaliga transporten av kylvatten. Dessa är nordgående ström(stark och svag) samt sydgående ström(stark och svag). Vid nordgående ström har vind från norr 5 m/s även lagts in i modellberäkningarna för att ge effekterna vid ogynnsamma yttre omständigheter. Vid sydgående ström har vind från väster tagits med. Den planerade utfyllnaden vid Spillepeng är inlagd i alla beräkningarna. Däremot är Malmö Hamns planerade utfyllnad, etapp 2, endast inlagd vid ett av de fyra olika strömningsalternativen.

    Beräkningar har även utförts av möjligheten hålla Oljehamnen isfri liksom beräkningar av initiell avkylning och inblandning av kylvattnet för de aktuella utsläppsalternativen.

    Resultaten visar att Oljehamnen bör kunna hållas isfri vid ett flöde på 15-30 m3/s och utsläppstemperaturen 10 °c. Denna värmemängd bör även kunna smälta ett måttligt tjockt istäcke.  I stora drag erhålls följande resultat för de olika utsläppslägena med sina respektive kylvattenmängder. De olika alternativen grupperar sig inbördes i stort sett i samma ordning oberoende av aktuellt strömningsmönster. Avgörande är istället utsläppsläge och mängd kylvatten. Utsläppsläge 4, (utanför Malmö Hamns planerade utfyllnad) har mindre än hälften så stora ytor med övertemperaturer som är större än 2 °c jämfört med övriga utsläppslägen. Det är därefter två olika lägen som ger störst initialutspädning, dvs minsta ytorna med de högre övertemperaturerna. Dessa är läge 3 med 30 m3/s (vid avloppstubernas mynning) och läge 1 (uppströms i Sege å) med 20 m3/s. Sämst initiell utspädning erhölls för läge 2, (något utanför Sege ås mynning) med 30 m3/s. Övriga alternativ, där det ena är 20 m3/s i läge 1 samtidigt med 10 m3/s i läge 3 och det andra är 30 m3/s i läge 1, grupperar sig mellan de redan nämnda och har något varierande ordning beroende på strömförhållandena.

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  • 44.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Strömningsteknisk utredning avseende utbyggnad av gipsdeponi i Landskrona1990Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    HYDRO SUPRA AB planerar att utvidga sin gipsdeponering utanför Landskrona söderut. SMHI har därför fått i uppdrag att beräkna eventuella förändringar av vattenutbyte och strömmar i norra Lundåkrabukten. Strömförhållandena idag och efter en utbyggnad simuleras med en numerisk tredimensionell hydrodynamisk modell. Beräkningarna stöder sig på strömmätningar i två punkter i det studerade området samt strömförhållandena i centrala Öresund.

    Strömmen mättes under maj månad 1990. Resultaten visar att cirkulationen i Lundåkrabukten drivs av strömningen i centrala Öresund, speciellt gäller det för den långperiodiska strömningen. Tidvattnet har en viss betydelse i bukten och bidrar till relativt täta strömväxlingar. På det grunda området, mindre än I meter, har den lokala vinden stor betydelse för strömmarna. Innanför vågbrottszonen bildas intermittent en restström av de brytande ytvågorna.

    Strömmen mättes under maj månad 1990. Resultaten visar att cirkulationen i Lundåkrabukten drivs av strömningen i centrala Öresund, speciellt gäller det för den långperiodiska strömningen. Tidvattnet har en viss betydelse i bukten och bidrar till relativt täta strömväxlingar. På det grunda området, mindre än I meter, har den lokala vinden stor betydelse för strömmarna. Innanför vågbrottszonen bildas intermittent en restström av de brytande ytvågorna.

    Vattenutbyte

    Vid nordgående ström och nordlig eller sydlig vind påverkas vattenutbytet 1 nordligaste delen relativt litet, det minskar med storleksordningen någon procent. Vid nordgående ström och ostlig vind är förändringen av vattenutbytet något större. Strax öster om utbyggnaden sker en minskning på 50 procent över en bredd av cirka 600 meter. Öster härom sker ingen förändring. När utbytet betraktas i en linje från Gipsön och in mot land rakt österut, kan minskningen uppskattas till maximalt 10 procent. Denna strömsituation förekommer under I O - 20 procent av tiden, vilket innebär att sett över en längre tidsperiod är förändringen I - 2 procent.

    Vid sydgående ström och västlig vind är minskningen i det nordligaste delen av området cirka 10 - 15 procent. Totalt sett är volymerna här små. Vid svaga västvindar blir förändringen mindre. Förändringen är lokal strax öster och sydost om utfyllnaden. Västlig vind förekommer till cirka 40 procent under 1 år. Det ger totalt sett över en längre tidsperiod en minskning i nordligaste delen på 4-6 procent.

    Strömförhållanden

    Strömmen har studerats i närområdet före och efter utbyggnad. En förstoring av området gör att en visuell bedömning kan göras. För alla de fyra olika strömningssimuleringarna gäller att förändringen av strömmarna är obetydlig.

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  • 45.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Grafström, Torbjörn
    SMHI.
    Andersson, Jan
    SMHI, Core Services.
    Spridningsberäkningar - Klints Bank1990Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Gotlandsolja AB har uppdragit åt IVL att genomföra en miljökonsekvensutredning med anledning av planerad provborrning efter olja på Klints Bank öster om Gotland. SMHI har fått i uppdrag att genomföra punkt 2 i denna utredning, som berör spridning av ett tänkt oljeutsläpp.

    Ett numeriskt modellarbete ligger till grund för spridningsberäkningarna. Vinduppgifter är framtagna ur klimatstatistik och utgör historiska observationer från olika säsonger.

    Under vinter- och vårsäsongen berörs i majoriteten av fallen Gotlands ost- och sydkust efter 30 dygn eller mindre. I ogynnsamma fall, kraftiga NE-E vindar, når oljan Gotlands kust inom 2 dygn. I enstaka fall berörs också Stockholms skärgård och Öland.

    Sommar och höst, med majoriteten av vindar från sektorn S-NY, påverkas i hög grad Baltiska kusten inom 30 dygn. I ogynnsamma fall kan det ske inom   5 - 6 dygn.

    Under nov-jan är ca var 3:e observerad vindhastighet större än 10 m/s - i 5 % av fallen är vindhastigheten större än 15 m/s.

    Högsta uppmätta våghöjden under en 6-månadersperiod är 5.9 m - den kan sannolikt bli upp mot det dubbla.

    Strömmarna är i medeltal svaga, ofta sydgående - i extrema fall kan dock strömhastigheten uppgå till mellan 50 - 100 cm/s.

    Is förekommer i området endast under mycket svåra isvintrar, vilket inträffar mellan vart 7:e och 10:e år.

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  • 46.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Wickström, Kjell
    SMHI.
    Spridningsundersökningar i norra Kalmarsund för Mönsterås bruk1990Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Södra Skogsägarna planerar bygga ut Mönsterås Bruks massafabrik och vill därför få spridningen av avloppsvattnet i Kalmar sund belyst.

    SMHI har utfört strömmätningar i sju punkter under 3 månader våren 1990. Sex olika typiska strömningsmönster har beräknats med en tredimensionell numerisk modell. Strömmätningarna utgör drivning och verifiering av modellen samt beskriver strömmens tidsvariationer. Spridningen av avloppsvattnet har beräknats och kartering har utförts över spårämne från utsläppstuben.

    Vattnet i Kalmar sund är homogent med salthalten 7.1 - 7.6 promille. De generella strömningsmönstren i norra Kalmar sund visar att strömmen oftast är sydgående på västra sidan och nordgående ström dominerar på den östra sidan. Allmänt sett var den nordgående strömmen mot Öland relativt stabil under mätperioden. Det förhållandet inkluderar även sundet vid Skäggenäs.

    Vid nordgående nettoström genom sundet erhölls varierande strömmar mot fastlandet och nordgående vid Öland på alla djup. Vid sydgående nettoström erhölls sydlig ström på västra sidan utom i nordligaste delen, där varierande ström rådde. Mot Öland var strömmen sydgående vid Skäggenäs och norr om Borgholm var den nordgående vid hälften av tillfällena. I nordligaste delen av sundet erhölls ström mot norr vid varje tillfälle.

    Strömmarna drivs av den storskaliga cirkulationen i Östersjön. Vattenytans lutning längs kusten samt den regionala vinden visar båda tydliga samband med nettoströmmen genom sundet. I nordligaste delen av Kalmar sund är strömmen nära fastlandet relativt vindberoende. Utanför tuben från massafabriken erhölls till stor del ström mot sydost och söder med relativt höga medelhastigheter medan vinden har ett stort inflytande på strömmen vid och innanför tuben.

    Stående svängningar i Östersjön med perioden cirka 1 dygn dominerar undervissa perioder nettotransporten genom sundet. Den tredimensionella numeriska modellen har applicerats på norra Kalmar sund. Med . dess hjälp kan strömmen i hela området beräknas för olika representativa ström- och vindförhållanden. Spridningen av avloppsvattnet simuleras. Avloppsvattnet blandas relativt snabbt in på alla nivåer, eftersom vattnet i Kalmar sund oftast är välomblandat. Starka vindar medför att spridningen av avloppsvattnet blir mycket effektiv eftersom det då utsätts för varierande horisontella strömmar på olika djup. 

    Vid tillfällen med nordgående ström genom Kalmar sund förekommer ofta vind från sydväst och vid starka sydvästvindar fördelas avloppsvattnet ut i de centrala delarna av sundet. Vid svaga sydvästvindar förs avloppsvattnet norrut i centrala och östra delen av sundet. Ström mot söder förekom i samband med starka nordostvindar och starka västvindar. Nordostvindar ger en mycket snabb transport ner mot Skäggenäs, som tar drygt 2 dygn. Stark västvind för snabbt över avloppsvattnet mot Öland där det därefter relativt långsamt går söderut.

    Under islagd tid är spridningen minimal. Avloppsvattnet förs söderut eller norrut i ett smalt stråk invid kusten. Vattenutbytets betydelse för spridningen Vid en sammanvägning av resultaten från spårämnesundersökningen och modellarbetena finner vi att spridningen av avloppsvattnet i närområdet styrs av vinden. Därefter tar den storskaliga strömningen över den fortsatta spridningen. Med hjälp av en snabb initialutspädning får avloppsvattnet snabbt nästan samma densitet som recipientvattnet. Undersökningen visar att inom ett närområde på 2 km2 har avloppsvattnet hunnit spädas cirka 1 - 2 000 gånger.

    Strömmen genom Kalmar sund har en normal varaktighet på 1/2 - 2 dygn innan den skiftar riktning. Längre perioder som sällan överstiger 5 dygn med nordlig eller sydlig ström kan förekomma.

    Tidigare undersökningar visar att strömmen, sett under en längre period, är fördelad ungefär lika mellan syd- och nordgående ström. Sydgående ström förekommer cirka 60 procent av tiden och nordgående cirka 40 procent.

    På grund av de snabba skiftena av strömriktningen blir avloppsvattnet kvar i norra Kalmar sund och transporteras fram och åter under ständig utspädning. Det lämnar Kalmarsund i ett välutspädd tillstånd. Vid extremsituationer då strömmen t ex är nordgående, 10 cm per sekund under 5 dygn eller mer, lämnar avloppsvattnet Kalmar sund och går ut i Östersjön.

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  • 47.
    Ambjörn, Cecilia
    et al.
    SMHI, Professional Services.
    Wickström, Kjell
    SMHI.
    Undersökning av vattenmiljön vid utfyllnaden av Kockums varvsbassäng: Slutrapport för perioden 18 juni - 21 augusti 19871987Report (Other academic)
    Abstract [sv]

    Med anledning av SAAB-SCANIA Aktiebolags etablering inom Kockums före detta varvsområde fylls norra varvsbassängen igen med sand, hämtad från danska farvatten i Öresund. Sand tas främst från Kögebukten, men även den danska delen av Disken kan bli aktuell. Cirka tre miljoner kubikmeter sand ska under perioden juni 1987 - maj 1988 transporteras till bassängen.

    Innan utfyllnadsarbetena påbörjades togs prover för analys av metaller, PCB, klorfenoler och fenoxisyror. Dessa togs från de områden där sanden hämtas, från bottnen i varvsbassängen och från omkringliggande områden.

    Därefter tas prover regelbundet av vatten och sediment i närheten av Kockums-området. Grumlighetshalten hos ytvattnet analyseras även. En fotometer är placerad vid Ribersborgsbadet och en vid Limhamn för kontinuerlig registrering av grumlighetshalten.

    Resultat från provtagningarna i sedimenten i Kögebukten och på danska sidan av Disken visar, att alla analyserade metallhalter var låga vid jämförelse med bakgrundshalter. PCB var också lågt och i en del fall under detekteringsgränsen. Klorfenoler och fenoxisyror i Kögebukten låg under detekteringsgränsen.

    Resultat från provtagningarna i varvsbassängen före utfyllnaden och i några stationer norr och söder om denna visar följande. I sedimenten hade metallerna normala halter; kvicksilver, kadmium, bly, koppar och krom var högre än bakgrundshalterna enligt SNVs Allmänna Råd 84:4 och lägre än medelhalterna i Lommabukten. PCB var högt inne i bassängen, klorfenoler och fenoxisyror var negligerbara. För vattenproverna gällde att metallhalten var låg överallt utom för zink, vars halter genomgående var höga. PCB, klorfenoler och fenoxisyror i vattnet var negligerbara.

    Proverna tagna sedan utfyllnadsarbetet startat visar följande resultat. Den 29 juni var zinkhalten hos vattenproverna lika hög som före utfyllnadsarbetet. Övriga metaller hade låga halter i vatten och sediment. PCB var högt i sedimentet vid utflödesranden till bassängen. Den 14 juli var nickelhalten i utflödet från bassängen hög, vilket visar, att halten inne i själva bassängen var förhöjd vid detta tillfälle. Zinkhalten i vattnet var oförändrad, och kopparhalten var minst 10 gånger större än tidigare i hela området. Det kopparrika vattnet kommer utifrån och har inget lokalt ursprung. Den 20 juli var metall- och PCB-halter låga i vatten och i sediment, medan zink och koppar i vattnet hade samma halter som den 14 juli. De visar på en allmän förhöjning med avlägset ursprung.

    Musselprover togs i två punkter, och dessa gav mycket samstämmiga halter. Resultaten från musslorna skall sedan jämföras med motsvarande prover, när utfyllnadsarbetet är avslutat. Den 28 juli var zinkhalten i vattnet oförändrad. Övriga prover i sediment och vatten hade låga halter. PCB var lågt. Samma förhållanden rådde även den 4, 10 och 17 augusti.

    De förhöjda halterna av metaller som förekom innan den 15 juli i vattenområdet utanför varvsbassängen härrör med största sannolikhet från gammalt bottensediment från Kockumstiden. Genom att utfyllnaden inleddes med att bottnen täcktes med ett ca 20 cm tjockt lager sand, förhindrades därefter vidare spridning av förorenat material ut från utfyllnadsområdet. Den använda sanden från Kögebukten var enligt SMHI:s provtagning renare med lägre halter av metaller än sedimenten ute i Öresund. Efter den 15 juli, när bottenytan inne i bassängen i princip var täckt, erhölls stabila halter, och alla ämnen hade låga koncentrationer. Zink i vatten var högt men hade samma halter som innan utfyllnadsarbetena startade.

    Vid de provtagningstillfällen, då analyser av klorfenoler och fenoxisyror utförts, var halterna låga.

    Resultaten från grumlighetsundersökningarna visar, att spridningen av synligt material från utfyllnadsarbetena sker i begränsad omfattning. Vid ett tillfälle, den 15 augusti, har en förhöjd grumlighet uppmätts vid Ribersborgs kallbadhus. Vid nordgående ström har förhöjd grumlighet observerats vid några enstaka tillfällen utanför Lommabukten. I övrigt har spridningen begränsat sig till en ca 200 - 300 m stor plym strax utanför varvsbassängen.

    Spridningsberäkningarna för sedimentation och förflyttning av sandpartiklar ger information om var det lättare materialet, silt med diametern 0.01 mm, kan finnas. Det är i material med denna grovlek som oönskade ämnen finns. Bottnen i varvsbassängen var täckt omkring den 15 juli och därefter sprids i princip inga miljöfarliga ämnen härifrån. Materialet fick därför komma ut ur bassängen kontinuerligt under perioden 22 juni - 15 juli. Fördelningen på bottnen och i vattnet den 15 juli framgår av figur E, se sid 22. Därefter beräknas även föhållandena den 22 augusti, genom att det material som fanns ute den 15 juli får fortsätta att förflyttas, utan att något nytt tillförs. Resultaten från denna beräkning finns också i figur E.

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  • 48.
    Ameli, A. A.
    et al.
    Univ Western Ontario, Dept Biol, Biol & Geol Sci Bldg, London, ON N6A 3K7, Canada.;Univ Saskatchewan, Global Inst Water Secur, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.;Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci Air Water & Landscape Sci, Uppsala, Sweden..
    McDonnell, J. J.
    Univ Saskatchewan, Global Inst Water Secur, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.;Univ Aberdeen, Sch Geosci, Aberdeen, Scotland..
    Bishop, Kevin
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala Centre for Sustainable Development, CSD Uppsala. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Swedish Univ Agr Sci SLU, Dept Aquat Sci & Assessment, Uppsala, Sweden..
    The exponential decline in saturated hydraulic conductivity with depth: a novel method for exploring its effect on water flow paths and transit time distribution2016In: Hydrological Processes, ISSN 0885-6087, E-ISSN 1099-1085, Vol. 30, no 14, p. 2438-2450Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The strong vertical gradient in soil and subsoil saturated hydraulic conductivity is characteristic feature of the hydrology of catchments. Despite the potential importance of these strong gradients, they have proven difficult to model using robust physically based schemes. This has hampered the testing of hypotheses about the implications of such vertical gradients for subsurface flow paths, residence times and transit time distribution. Here we present a general semi-analytical solution for the simulation of 2D steady-state saturated-unsaturated flow in hillslopes with saturated hydraulic conductivity that declines exponentially with depth. The grid-free solution satisfies mass balance exactly over the entire saturated and unsaturated zones. The new method provides continuous solutions for head, flow and velocity in both saturated and unsaturated zones without any interpolation process as is common in discrete numerical schemes. This solution efficiently generates flow pathlines and transit time distributions in hillslopes with the assumption of depth-varying saturated hydraulic conductivity. The model outputs reveal the pronounced effect that changing the strength of the exponential decline in saturated hydraulic conductivity has on the flow pathlines, residence time and transit time distribution. This new steady-state model may be useful to others for posing hypotheses about how different depth functions for hydraulic conductivity influence catchment hydrological response.

  • 49.
    Ameli, A.A.
    et al.
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Department of Biology, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada.
    Amvrosiadi, Nino
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Grabs, T.homas J.
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL.
    Laudon, Hjalmar
    Department of Forest Ecology and Management, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Umeå, Sweden.
    Creed, I.F.
    Department of Biology, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada.
    McDonnell, J.J.
    Global Institute for Water Security, School of Environment and Sustainability, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada; School of Geosciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
    Bishop, Kevin
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.
    Hillslope permeability architecture controls on subsurface transit time distribution and flow paths2016In: Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 543, no A, p. 17-30Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Defining the catchment transit time distribution remains a challenge. Here, we used a new semi-analytical physically-based integrated subsurface flow and advective–dispersive particle movement model to assess the subsurface controls on subsurface water flow paths and transit time distributions. First, we tested the efficacy of the new model for simulation of the observed groundwater dynamics at the well-studied S-transect hillslope (Västrabäcken sub-catchment, Sweden). This system, like many others, is characterized by exponential decline in saturated hydraulic conductivity and porosity with soil depth. The model performed well relative to a tracer-based estimate of transit time distribution as well as observed groundwater depth–discharge relationship within 30 m of the stream. Second, we used the model to assess the effect of changes in the subsurface permeability architecture on flow pathlines and transit time distribution in a set of virtual experiments. Vertical patterns of saturated hydraulic conductivity and porosity with soil depth significantly influenced hillslope transit time distribution. Increasing infiltration rates significantly decreased mean groundwater age, but not the distribution of transit times relative to mean groundwater age. The location of hillslope hydrologic boundaries, including the groundwater divide and no-flow boundary underlying the hillslope, changed the transit time distribution less markedly. These results can guide future decisions on the degree of complexity that is warranted in a physically-based rainfall–runoff model to efficiently and explicitly estimate time invariant subsurface pathlines and transit time distribution.

  • 50.
    Ameli, Ali A.
    Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, LUVAL. Univ Saskatchewan, Global Inst Water Secur, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.;Western Univ, Dept Biol, London, ON, Canada..
    Controls on subsurface transport of sorbing contaminant2017In: Hydrology Research, ISSN 1998-9563, E-ISSN 2224-7955, Vol. 48, no 5, p. 1226-1239Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Subsurface transport of a sorbing contaminant is poorly understood and characterized. Here, a new semi-analytical saturated-unsaturated flow and transport model is coupled to a kinetic sorption algorithm to assess the impact of changes in the subsurface permeability architecture and flow rate on sorption characteristics. The model outputs reveal the pronounced effect of the rate of vertical decline in K-s on the frequency of occurrence and spatial distribution of subsurface sorption as well as the timing and rate of sorbing contaminants discharged into stream. Sorption potential is weakened with infiltration rate. The impact of infiltration rate on the decline in sorption potential becomes more accentuated as the degree of subsurface vertical heterogeneity in saturated hydraulic conductivity increases. Porosity pattern also impacts sorption characteristics; but its effects highly depend upon the degree of vertical heterogeneity in Ks. The results and methodology presented in this paper have potential implications for assessing water quality in integrated groundwater-surface water systems as well as designing remediation systems.

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