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Early warning indicators for preventive policy: a new approach in Early Warning research
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5426-8238
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.
2003 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This working paper presents the preliminary findings from the pilot-project‘Early Warning Indicators for Preventive Policy’ at the Stockholm International PeaceResearch Institute which was launched in late 2002. The pilot phase of the projectwill run for twelve month and is funded by the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs.

The project combines a monthly survey that retrieves events data from expertswith country framework data and Internet technology, thus breaking new ground inthe field of conflict early warning research. Processing both survey and statisticaldata using a well-designed statistical conflict forecasting model allows for thecreation of indexes that reflect negative national and regional developments in thesocial, political and economic sectors. The results are made available on the Internetin the form of country-specific and regional reports, with the possibility for users tocustomise the system for their own needs.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute , 2003. , 9 p.
Keyword [en]
Early warning, conflict management, political risk, conflict prevention
National Category
Social Sciences Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalization Studies)
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-6306OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-6306DiVA: diva2:967529
Note

Working paper

Available from: 2016-09-09 Created: 2016-09-09 Last updated: 2016-09-14Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

EarlyWarning(309 kB)11 downloads
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File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 309 kBChecksum SHA-512
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Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

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Weissmann, Mikael
Social SciencesPolitical Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalization Studies)

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