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Evaluation of Skåne County’s capacity to be self-sufficient in foodstuffproduction: now and for the years 2030 and 2050.
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences.
2015 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Sweden is becoming increasingly dependent on the import of foodstuffs from a globalfood system that is unsustainable due to its responsibility for environmental degradation and itsdependency on finite resources like fertilizers and fossil fuels. The diminishing ability to be selfsufficientin a time when peak oil, climate change, environmental degradation, exponentialpopulation growth, and a troublesome global economy might reshape the structures of the currentsystems, in a not so distant future, could be a cause for great worry. Skåne County has functioned asa case study to investigate the level of self-sufficiency in foodstuffs at the present time and theprospects for self-sufficiency in the future. Forecasts for the years 2030 and 2050 have been madebased on five different variables: population size, production and consumption, climate change,available agricultural land, and the transition toward a sustainable agricultural system. At thepresent time, with today’s consumption patterns, the foodstuffs that are produced in Skåne Countycan sustain around 78% of the population. For the forecasts, different scenarios have been generatedby adjusting the five variables within a reasonable range. Scenarios are also in the forecasts inwhich suggested proactive implementations to enhance the possibilities for self-sufficiency havebeen included. Due to these proactive implementations and the high degree of uncertainty withinsome variables, the result ranges from a 16.7% self-sufficiency level up to 111.6%. In order to reacha 100 % level of self-sufficiency there are strong indications that this will require structural systemchanges as well as behavioral changes

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2015. , 49 p.
Examensarbete vid Institutionen för geovetenskaper, ISSN 1650-6553 ; 242
Keyword [en]
Sustainable Development, Re-localization, Local Food, Resilience, Food production, Self-sufficiency.
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-254919OAI: diva2:820227
Subject / course
Sustainable development
Educational program
Master Programme in Sustainable Development
2015-06-04, Norrland 1, Geocentrum, Villavägen 16, Uppsala, Uppsala, 18:56 (English)
Available from: 2015-06-11 Created: 2015-06-11 Last updated: 2015-06-11Bibliographically approved

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