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Prisbubblan på bostäder i Sverige- Existerar den? Vilka riskfaktorer kan orsaka ett prisfall?
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.
2014 (Swedish)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Housing bubble in Sweden- Does it exist? Which risk factors can cause a fall inprises? (English)
Abstract [sv]

Ordet bostadsbubbla spreds som en löpeld över världen efter den stora sub-primekrisen i USA

2008 som påverkade hela världens finansiella system. Sedan dess är oron för nya bubblor

konstant närvarande.

Denna uppsats kommer undersöka de argument som framförs för att en bostadsbubbla

existerar i Sverige. Jag studerar den aktuella debatten och granskar argumenten som framförs.

Existerar bostadsbubblan eller inte? Uppsatsen tar också reda på vilka riskfaktorer som skulle

kunna orsaka ett prisfall på bostäder, oavsett om det råder en bostadsbubbla eller inte. En

jämförelse mellan boendekostnaderna för hyresrätt kontra bostadsrätt görs med spännande

resultat.

Dessutom tillfrågar jag drygt 100 fastighetsmäklare om deras tro på den svenska

bostadsmarknaden. Mäklarna tillfrågas om vilka faktorer de tror kan orsaka ett prisfall på den

svenska bostadsmarknaden och hur stor sannolikhet det är att dessa faktorer faktiskt inträffar.

Resultatet visar att ökningen av bostadspriser i Sverige har stöd av fundamentala faktorer och

prisökningen kan i stor utsträckning förklaras av låga räntor och ökade disponibla inkomster.

Det största hotet mot prisutvecklingen på bostadsmarknaden är en ihållande lågkonjunktur

med minskade disponibla inkomster vid redan låga räntenivåer.

Abstract [en]

The word housing bubble spread like wildfire across the world after the great sub-prime crisis

in the United States in 2008 that affected the financial systems of the entire world. Since then,

the fear of new bubbles is constantly present.

This paper will examine the arguments put forth wheter or not a housing bubble exists in

Sweden. I study the current debate to see if the arguments are valid. Does the bubble exist or

doesn’t it? The essay also aims to find the risk factors that could cause a fall in house prices,

regardless of the fact that there is a housing bubble or not.

In addition, I ask more then 100 real estate agents about their faith in the Swedish housing

market. The brokers are asked which factors they think may cause a drop in the Swedish

housing market and how likely it is that these factors actually occurs.

The result shows that the increase in housing prices in Sweden are supported by fundamental

factors and the price increase can largely be explained by low interest rates and increased

disposable income.

The biggest threat to prices in the housing is a persistent recession with reduced disposable

income at already low interest rates.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2014.
Keyword [en]
Real Estate, housing bubble, price bubble
Keyword [sv]
Bostäder, bostadsmarknad, prisbubbla
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-146333OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-146333DiVA: diva2:723866
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2014-06-11 Created: 2014-06-11 Last updated: 2014-06-11Bibliographically approved

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