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Modeller och prognoser för regionalt bilinnehav i Sverige
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute.
2002 (Swedish)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [sv]

Car access is determining for individuals' travelling in terms of modal

choice and travelling pattern in

general. It is therefore natural that variables related to car ownership play

an important role in transport


The report deals with models and forecasts of the households' car ownership.

It describes a type of

models, based on estimates of individuals' entry and exit propensity to/from

car ownership, which has

been developed for national and regional forecasts. According to the model,

entry propensity is primarily

dependent on age, sex and living region, but also on general variables like

petrol price and economic

growth. The exit propensity is, on the other hand, mostly dependent on age

and sex. The report shows

how models of this type have been developed, estimated and applied for the

prediction of regional car


Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut., VTI rapport 476 , 2002.
VTI rapport, ISSN 0347-6030
Keyword [en]
Swedish, Sweden, Vehicle ownership, Region, Forecast, Mathematical model, Statistics, Age, Man, Woman, Car
Research subject
Road: Transport, society, policy and planning, Road: Personal transport
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-6350OAI: diva2:675226
Available from: 2013-12-03 Created: 2013-12-03 Last updated: 2013-12-03

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Matstoms, Pontus
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