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Perception of own death risk: a reassessment of road-traffic mortality risk
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Transport economics Stockholm.
2008 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This study examines individuals' perception of their own road-mortality risk. Swedish data on respondents' subjective risk beliefs is used and compared with objective risk estimates. The objective risk is defined as the risk of the respondent's own age and gender group, and it is found that low and high risk groups over- and underassess their risk levels, respectively. This study replicates the analysis used by Andersson and Lundborg (2007) and the pattern of over- and underassessment found confirms their findings. As in their study, risk beliefs are updated in line with the Bayesian learning model, a relationship not statistically significant in this study, though. Regarding results of individual characteristics and risk beliefs in both studies, whereas, e.g., gender effects are robust, other results suggest a weak relationship between the perception of own road-mortality risk and individual characteristics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut, 2008. , 20 p.
, Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute (VTI), 2008:11
Keyword [en]
Fatality, Risk assessment, Perception, Statistical analysis, Mathematical model
National Category
Research subject
Road: Traffic safety and accidents, Road: Road user behaviour; Road: General works, surveys, comprehensive works, Road: Economics
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-697OAI: diva2:669397
Available from: 2013-12-03 Created: 2013-12-03 Last updated: 2014-05-13Bibliographically approved

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fulltext(246 kB)100 downloads
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Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

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Andersson, Henrik
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Transport economics Stockholm

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ReferencesLink to record
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