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A discrete choice model of transport chain and shipment size on Swedish commodity flow survey 2004/2005
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Transport Science, Traffic and Logistics.
2010 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Freight demand models have not been developed that much as passenger demand models. The

reason is existence of too many complexities in this area. To estimate a disaggregate freight

transport models large input data is required. The Swedish Flow Commodity survey 2004/2005

(CFS) which is a unique data source at the level of individual firms made it possible to estimate a

disaggregate model to analyze the choice of transport chains and shipment size for the domestic

metal products. The output of logistics module of the Swedish national freight transport

(SAMGODS) is used as an auxiliary database to incorporate logistics decisions which CFS lacks

in the model.

The model comprises logistics perspective by considering both shipment size and transport

chains as endogenous choices. Characteristics of shippers, shipments and transport chains are

included in the model to analyze the choice of transport chain and shipment size. It has been

tried to include as many transport chains as possible in the choice sets to consider their effects on

decision making. Transport costs have been included in the model as shipment size specific to

incorporate the concept of logistics more precisely in the model.

From the results it can be seen that the freight transport demand is almost inelastic to the cost.

The model gives a positive sign for the coefficient of the transport time which can be explained

as the storage cost is so high that shippers prefer to use transport modes as the moving

inventories instead.

Finally, it is suggested to estimate panel discrete choice models on this dataset.


Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2010. , 017 p.
TEC-MT, 10-015
Keyword [en]
Disaggregate freight transport demand, transport chain and shipment size choice
National Category
Engineering and Technology
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-119148OAI: diva2:609739
Available from: 2013-03-07 Created: 2013-03-07

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