Considering only first-order effects?: How simplifications lead to unrealistic technology optimism in climate change mitigation
2011 (English)In: Energy Policy, ISSN 0301-4215, Vol. 39, no 11, 7448-7454 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
This article challenges the notion that energy efficiency and 'clean' energy technologies can deliver sufficient degrees of climate change mitigation. By six arguments not widely recognized in the climate policy arena, we argue that unrealistic technology optimism exists in current climate change mitigation assessments, and, consequently, world energy and climate policy. The overarching theme of the arguments is that incomplete knowledge of indirect effects, and neglect of interactions between parts of physical and social sub-systems, systematically leads to overly optimistic assessments. Society must likely seek deeper changes in social and economic structures to preserve the climatic conditions to which the human civilization is adapted. We call for priority to be given to research evaluating aspects of mitigation in a broad, system-wide perspective. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2011. Vol. 39, no 11, 7448-7454 p.
Sustainable development, Climate policy, Limits to growth
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:no:ntnu:diva-20236DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.09.013ISI: 000298120200076OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ntnu-20236DiVA: diva2:606835
The article in is reprinted with kind permission from Elsevier, sciencedirect.com2013-02-202013-02-202014-06-23Bibliographically approved