Change search
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Energy Demand Model Design for Forecasting Electricity Consumption and Simulating Demand Response Scenarios in Sweden
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering. (Future Energy)ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1001-2489
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4589-7045
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9535-4033
Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, Cartagena, Colomb.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5277-4567
2012 (English)In: / [ed] J. Yan, 2012Conference paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The introduction of a deregulated power system market and development of smart-metering technologies in Sweden, bring new opportunities for fully exploiting its power system efficiency and reliability, such as price-based demand response (DR) programs at a large scale for household, commercial and industrial users. 

The deployments of these DR programs require, however, very accurate demand forecasting models. The traditional approach of obtaining the total energy use and peak demand does not offer the required detailed information. This article reviews several methodologies for forecasting electricity consumption from a bottom-up perspective in order to define the required parameters and structure for obtaining an energy model. This model will finally include energy usage data, behavioural parameters obtained from a survey conducted with 5 000 end-users in different Swedish distribution system operators’ areas, and physical conditions for the facilities (internal/external temperatures and insulation materials). This information is provided from previous research studies performed at Mälardalen University and Swedish electric utilities companies. 

The obtained model should be able to adjust its parameters dynamically in order to simulate several demand-response scenarios based on four different strategies: time of use pricing, use of curtailable/interruptible rates, imposition of penalties for usage beyond predetermined levels, and real time pricing.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
National Category
Energy Systems
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-17525OAI: diva2:582603
4th International Conference in Applied Energy 2012, July 5-8, 2012. Suzhou, China.
Swedish Energy Agency

Paper ID: ICAE2012-A10599

Available from: 2013-01-06 Created: 2013-01-05 Last updated: 2015-02-04Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

ICAE2012_J_Campillo_V3-120427(399 kB)5408 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 399 kBChecksum SHA-512
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Campillo, JavierWallin, FredrikTorstensson, DanielVassileva, Iana
By organisation
School of Business, Society and Engineering
Energy Systems

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 5408 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

Total: 773 hits
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link