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Depletion of fossil fuels and anthropogenic climate change: a review
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Science and Technology, Earth Sciences, Department of Earth Sciences, Global Energy Systems. (Globala Energisystem)ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6379-7104
China University of Petroleum - Beijing.
2013 (English)In: Energy Policy, ISSN 0301-4215, E-ISSN 1873-6777, Vol. 52, 797-809 p.Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Future scenarios with significant anthropogenic climate change also display large increases in world production of fossil fuels, the principal CO2 emission source. Meanwhile, fossil fuel depletion has also been identified as a future challenge. This chapter reviews the connection between these two issues and concludes that limits to availability of fossil fuels will set a limit for mankind’s ability to affect the climate. However, this limit is unclear as various studies have reached quite different conclusions regarding future atmospheric CO2 concentrations caused by fossil fuel limitations.

It is concluded that the current set of emission scenarios used by the IPCC and others is perforated by optimistic expectations on future fossil fuel production that are improbable or even unrealistic. The current situation, where climate models largely rely on emission scenarios detached from the reality of supply and its inherent problems is problematic. In fact, it may even mislead planners and politicians into making decisions that mitigate one problem but make the other one worse. It is important to understand that the fossil energy problem and the anthropogenic climate change problem are tightly connected and need to be treated as two interwoven challenges necessitating a holistic solution.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2013. Vol. 52, 797-809 p.
Keyword [en]
fossil fuel depletion, emission scenarios, anthropogenic climate change
National Category
Energy Systems Environmental Management Other Physics Topics Climate Research Other Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Physics with specialization in Global Energy Resources
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-182885DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.10.046ISI: 000313775100071OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-182885DiVA: diva2:561259
Available from: 2012-10-18 Created: 2012-10-18 Last updated: 2017-12-07Bibliographically approved

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