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FINDING IMPORTANT FACTORS IN AN EFFECTS-BASED PLAN USING SEQUENTIAL BIFURCATION
KTH, School of Information and Communication Technology (ICT).
2012 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

After the pilot phase of a simulation study, if the model contains many factors, then direct experimentation may need too much computer processing time, therefore the purpose of screening simulation experiments is to eliminate negligible or unimportant factors of a simulation model in order to concentrate the efforts upon a short list of important factors. For this matter the Sequential bifurcation procedure developed by Bettonvil and Kleijnen [3] is an efficient and effective screening method which can be used. In this study, the Sequential bifurcation screening method is used to determine the important factors of a simulation based decision support model designed by The Swedish Defense Research Agency (FOI) meant for testing operational plans. By using this simulation model, a decision maker is able to test a number of feasible plans against possible courses of events. The sequential bifurcation procedure was applied and sorted the most important factors involved in this simulation model based on their relative importance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. , 59 p.
Series
TRITA-ICT-EX, 2012:128
Keyword [en]
Simulation, Screening, Sequential Bifurcation, Design of experiments.
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-101212OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-101212DiVA: diva2:546781
Uppsok
Technology
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2012-08-24 Created: 2012-08-24 Last updated: 2015-01-09Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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  • apa
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