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Climate change and total factor productivity in the Tanzanian economy
Univ Portsmouth, Dept Econ, Portsmouth PO1 3DE, Hants, UK.
Int Inst Environm & Dev, Sustainable Markets Grp, Econ Climate Change Team, London WC1H 0DD, UK.
Mid Sweden University, Faculty of Human Sciences, Department of Social Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7206-6568
2011 (English)In: Climate Policy, ISSN 1469-3062, E-ISSN 1752-7457, Vol. 11, no 6, 1289-1302 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The paper analyses the economic impacts of climate change-induced adjustments on the performance of the Tanzanian economy, using a country-wide computable general equilibrium model. The effect of overall climate change on agricultural productivity (modeled as reduced land productivity) is projected to be relatively limited until approximately 2030 and become worse thereafter. Our simulation results indicate that despite the projected reduction in agricultural productivity, the negative impacts can potentially be quite limited. This is because the time scales involved and the low starting point of the economy leave ample space for factor substitutability and increased overall productivity. This indicates that policies that give farmers opportunity to invest in autonomous climate adaptation, as well as policies that improve the overall performance of the economy, can be as important for reducing the impacts of climate change in the economy as direct government policies for climate adaptation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2011. Vol. 11, no 6, 1289-1302 p.
Keyword [en]
adaptation, Africa, economic development, economic models, Tanzania
National Category
URN: urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-14117DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2011.579300ISI: 000297288900003ScopusID: 2-s2.0-84860763427OAI: diva2:429290
Available from: 2011-07-04 Created: 2011-07-04 Last updated: 2012-08-09Bibliographically approved

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