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Choosing the right path: The effects of pursuing general versus vocational secondary education on dropout risk and youth inactivity
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Government.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3122-7748
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Government.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3026-3779
2025 (English)In: Economics of Education Review, ISSN 0272-7757, E-ISSN 1873-7382, Vol. 106, article id 102655Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This article presents evidence on how students’ risk of dropping out or becoming inactive (NEET) are affected by pursuing a general (academic) versus vocational upper secondary education. We use a regression discontinuity design exploiting the grade-based admission process in Sweden. The results suggest that, among those students who apply to both types of education, starting a general program is associated with a higher likelihood of not graduating on time and spending more time without employment and outside studies during early adulthood. Furthermore, students on general programs perform worse in tests for courses mandatory for graduation, compared to students on vocational programs. We also find an increased dropout risk among students starting general programs when running family fixed effects models on the population of upper secondary students.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 106, article id 102655
Keywords [en]
Vocational education, Technical education, Dropouts, NEET, General education, upper secondary education
Keywords [sv]
skolavhopp, yrkesprogram, gymnasiet, studieförberedande program, arbetslöshet
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-556019DOI: 10.1016/j.econedurev.2025.102655OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-556019DiVA, id: diva2:1957106
Part of project
An upper secondary education for all? How does the design of upper secondary eduction affect the risk of dropping out and unemployment?, Swedish Research Council
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2021-04226Available from: 2025-05-08 Created: 2025-05-08 Last updated: 2025-05-08Bibliographically approved

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Output format
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