Digitala Vetenskapliga Arkivet

Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Parallel boosting neural network with mutual information for day-ahead solar irradiance forecasting
Mirpur Univ Sci & Technol MUST, Dept Elect Engn, Mirpur 10250, Pakistan..
Mirpur Univ Sci & Technol MUST, Dept Elect Engn, Mirpur 10250, Pakistan..
Univ Glasgow, James Watt Sch Engn, Glasgow City G128QQ, Scotland..
Monash Univ, Fac Informat Technol, Dept Data Sci & AI, Room 273,Woodside Bldg,Clayton Campus, Clayton, Australia..
Show others and affiliations
2025 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 15, no 1, article id 11642Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The transition to sustainable energy has become imperative due to the depletion of fossil fuels. Solar energy presents a viable alternative owing to its abundance and environmental benefits. However, the intermittent nature of solar energy requires accurate forecasting of solar irradiance (SI) for reliable operation of photovoltaics (PVs) integrated systems. Traditional deep learning (DL) models and decision tree (DT)-based algorithms have been widely employed for this purpose. However, DL models often demand substantial computational resources and large datasets, while DT algorithms lack generalizability. To address these limitations, this study proposes a novel parallel boosting neural network (PBNN) framework that integrates boosting algorithms with a feedforward neural network (FFNN). The proposed framework leverages three boosting DT algorithms, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XgBoost), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), and Random Forest (RF) regressors as base learners, operating in parallel. The intermediary forecasts from these base learners are concatenated and input into the FFNN, which assigns optimal weights to generate the final prediction. The proposed PBNN is trained and evaluated on two geographical datasets and compared with state-of-the-art techniques. The mutual information (MI) algorithm is implemented as a feature selection technique to identify the most important features for forecasting. Results demonstrate that when trained with the selected features, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of PBNN is improved by \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$46.9\%$$\end{document}, and \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$73.9\%$$\end{document} for Islamabad and San Diego city datasets, respectively. Furthermore, a literature comparison of the PBNN is also performed for robustness analysis. Source code and datasets are available at https://github.com/Ubaid014/Parallel-Boosting-Neural-Network/tree/main

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025. Vol. 15, no 1, article id 11642
Keywords [en]
Neural networks, Integrated approach, Parallel computing, Dimensionality reduction, Solar irradiance forecasting
National Category
Subatomic Physics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-554888DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-95891-1ISI: 001459933600048PubMedID: 40185800Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105002635106OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-554888DiVA, id: diva2:1954286
Available from: 2025-04-24 Created: 2025-04-24 Last updated: 2025-04-24Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(5556 kB)19 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 5556 kBChecksum SHA-512
61defc3f5e164f211c844fdce156fde2ec4de518bbae3606bd7daa0339dbffc3c9838cfbbcef1b15e23e7721a24f510b72e7a4a0b40063950c6ee67dccb97599
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full textPubMedScopus

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Aziz, Imran
By organisation
Solid-State ElectronicsFREIA
In the same journal
Scientific Reports
Subatomic Physics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 19 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn
Total: 46 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf