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Data-Driven Smart Maintenance of Historic Buildings
Linköping University, Department of Science and Technology, Physics, Electronics and Mathematics. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0931-7584
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Digital transformation in the built environment offers new opportunities to improve building maintenance through data-driven approaches. Smart monitoring, predictive modeling, and artificial intelligence can enhance decision-making and enable proactive strategies. The preservation of historic buildings is an important scenario where preventive maintenance is essential to ensure long-term sustainability while protecting heritage values. This thesis presents a comprehensive solution for data-driven smart maintenance of historic buildings, integrating Internet of Things (IoT), cloud computing, edge computing, ontology-based data modeling, and machine learning to improve indoor climate management, energy efficiency, and conservation practices.

To enable long-term environmental monitoring, a scalable digitalization solution is developed in Paper I, integrating an IoT-based sensing system with edge and cloud computing. Field deployments confirm the long-run reliability of the system in supporting real-time and historical data analysis for maintenance decisions. Papers II and III further introduce the concept of parametric digital twins, incorporating ontology-based data models to ensure a consistent representation of building structures, systems, and environmental conditions. Case studies at the City Theatre of Norrköping and Löfstad Castle in Östergötland, Sweden, validate the effectiveness of digital twins in identifying indoor climate risks and guiding conservation strategies.

Based on the collected data, Papers IV and VI explore deep learning methods for building energy forecasting. Paper IV evaluates state-of-the-art deep learning architectures for point and probabilistic multi-horizon forecasting, showing that incorporating future exogenous factors improves prediction accuracy. It also highlights how different building operating modes impact forecasting performance. Paper VI integrates deep learning with digital twins to identify energy-saving opportunities and optimize operations.

Papers V and VII focus on predictive modeling for indoor climate management. Paper VII proposes an edge-centric approach as an alternative to cloud-centric solutions, ensuring low latency and data privacy. Paper V explores federated deep learning as a privacy-aware solution for decentralized indoor climate forecasting. A comparative study of federated learning algorithms demonstrates that federated models can achieve prediction accuracy comparable to centralized learning while preserving data privacy. These findings offer practical insights for managing heterogeneous, distributed environmental data to support sustainable building operations.

This thesis advances data-driven conservation of historic buildings by combining smart monitoring, digital twins, and artificial intelligence. The proposed methods enable preventive maintenance and pave the way for the next generation of heritage conservation strategies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Linköping University Electronic Press, 2025. , p. 88
Series
Linköping Studies in Science and Technology. Dissertations, ISSN 0345-7524 ; 2444
National Category
Artificial Intelligence
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-213216DOI: 10.3384/9789181180602ISBN: 9789181180596 (print)ISBN: 9789181180602 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-213216DiVA, id: diva2:1953735
Public defence
2025-06-03, K2, Kåkenhus, Campus Norrköping, Norrköping, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Note

Funding: The Swedish Energy Agency (Energimyndigheten) and the Swedish Innovation Agency (Vinnova). 

Available from: 2025-04-23 Created: 2025-04-23 Last updated: 2025-04-23Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. A Sensing System Based on Public Cloud to Monitor Indoor Environment of Historic Buildings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A Sensing System Based on Public Cloud to Monitor Indoor Environment of Historic Buildings
2021 (English)In: Sensors, E-ISSN 1424-8220, Vol. 21, no 16, article id 5266Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Monitoring the indoor environment of historic buildings helps to identify potential risks, provide guidelines for improving regular maintenance, and preserve cultural artifacts. However, most of the existing monitoring systems proposed for historic buildings are not for general digitization purposes that provide data for smart services employing, e.g., artificial intelligence with machine learning. In addition, considering that preserving historic buildings is a long-term process that demands preventive maintenance, a monitoring system requires stable and scalable storage and computing resources. In this paper, a digitalization framework is proposed for smart preservation of historic buildings. A sensing system following the architecture of this framework is implemented by integrating various advanced digitalization techniques, such as Internet of Things, Edge computing, and Cloud computing. The sensing system realizes remote data collection, enables viewing real-time and historical data, and provides the capability for performing real-time analysis to achieve preventive maintenance of historic buildings in future research. Field testing results show that the implemented sensing system has a 2% end-to-end loss rate for collecting data samples and the loss rate can be decreased to 0.3%. The low loss rate indicates that the proposed sensing system has high stability and meets the requirements for long-term monitoring of historic buildings.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI, 2021
Keywords
Internet of Things; edge computing; cloud computing; historic buildings; indoor environment
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-178184 (URN)10.3390/s21165266 (DOI)000690008900001 ()34450715 (PubMedID)
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency
Note

Funding: Swedish Energy AgencySwedish Energy Agency [DNR: 2019-023737]

Available from: 2021-08-11 Created: 2021-08-11 Last updated: 2025-04-23
2. Enabling Preventive Conservation of Historic Buildings Through Cloud-based Digital Twins: A Case Study in the City Theatre, Norrköping
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Enabling Preventive Conservation of Historic Buildings Through Cloud-based Digital Twins: A Case Study in the City Theatre, Norrköping
2022 (English)In: IEEE Access, E-ISSN 2169-3536, Vol. 10, p. 90924-90939Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Historic buildings require good maintenance to sustain their function and preserve embodied heritage values. Previous studies have demonstrated the benefits of digitalization techniques in improving maintenance and managing threats to historic buildings. However, there still lacks a solution that can consistently organize data collected from historic buildings to reveal operating conditions of historic buildings in real-time and to facilitate various data analytics and simulations. This study aims to provide such a solution to help achieve preventive conservation. The proposed solution integrates Internet of Things and ontology to create digital twins of historic buildings. Internet of Things enables revealing the latest status of historic buildings, while ontology provides a consistent data schema for representing historic buildings. This study also gives a reference implementation by using public cloud services and open-source software libraries, which make it easier to be reused in other historic buildings. To verify the feasibility of the solution, we conducted a case study in the City Theatre, Norrköping, Sweden. The obtained results demonstrate the advantages of digital twins in providing maintenance knowledge and identifying potential risks caused by fluctuations of relative humidity.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2022
Keywords
digital twin, historic building, indoor environment, Internet of Things
National Category
Computer Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-188008 (URN)10.1109/access.2022.3202181 (DOI)000850844100001 ()
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency
Available from: 2022-09-01 Created: 2022-09-01 Last updated: 2025-04-23
3. Parametric Digital Twins for Preserving Historic Buildings: A Case Study at Löfstad Castle in Östergötland, Sweden
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Parametric Digital Twins for Preserving Historic Buildings: A Case Study at Löfstad Castle in Östergötland, Sweden
Show others...
2025 (English)In: IEEE Access, E-ISSN 2169-3536, Vol. 13, p. 3371-3389Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This study showcases the digitalization of Löstad Castle in Sweden to contribute to preserving its heritage values. The castle and its collections are deteriorating due to an inappropriate indoor climate. To address this, thirteen cloud-connected sensor boxes, equipped with 84 sensors, were installed throughout the main building, from the basement to the attic, to continuously monitor various indoor environmental parameters. The collected extensive multi-parametric data form the basis for creating a parametric digital twin of the building. The digital twin and detailed data analytics offer a deeper understanding of indoor climate and guide the adoption of appropriate heating and ventilation strategies. The results revealed the need to address high humidity problems in the basement and on the ground floor, such as installing vapor barriers. Opportunities for adopting energy-efficient heating and ventilation strategies on the upper floors were also highlighted. The digitalization solution and findings are not only applicable to Löfstad Castle but also provide valuable guidance for the conservation of other historic buildings facing similar challenges.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 2025
Keywords
Digital twin, heritage conservation, historic building, indoor climate, Internet of Things
National Category
Computer Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-210862 (URN)10.1109/access.2024.3525442 (DOI)001394723100039 ()2-s2.0-85214989379 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Energy AgencyVinnova
Note

Funding Agencies|Swedish Innovation Agency (Vinnova); Swedish Energy Agency (Energimyndigheten)

Available from: 2025-01-09 Created: 2025-01-09 Last updated: 2025-05-06
4. A study of deep learning-based multi-horizon building energy forecasting
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A study of deep learning-based multi-horizon building energy forecasting
2024 (English)In: Energy and Buildings, ISSN 0378-7788, E-ISSN 1872-6178, Vol. 303, article id 113810Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Building energy forecasting facilitates optimizing daily operation scheduling and long-term energy planning. Many studies have demonstrated the potential of data-driven approaches in producing point forecasts of energy use. Despite this, little work has been undertaken to understand uncertainty in energy forecasts. However, many decision-making scenarios require information from a full conditional distribution of forecasts. In addition, recent advances in deep learning have not been fully exploited for building energy forecasting. Motivated by these research gaps, this study contributes in two aspects. First, this study has adapted and applied state-of-the-art deep learning architectures to address the problem of multi-horizon building energy forecasting. Eight different methods, including seven deep learning-based ones, were investigated to develop models to perform both point and probabilistic forecasts. Second, a comprehensive case study was conducted in two public historic buildings with different operating modes, namely the City Museum and the City Theatre, in Norrköping, Sweden. The performance of the developed models was evaluated, and the predictability of different scenarios of energy consumption was studied. The results show that incorporating future information on exogenous factors that determine energy use is critical for making accurate multi-horizon predictions. Furthermore, changes in the operating mode and activities held in a building bring more uncertainty in energy use and deteriorate the prediction accuracy of models. The temporal fusion transformer (TFT) model exhibited strong competitiveness in performing both point and probabilistic forecasts. As assessed by the coefficient of variance of the root mean square error (CV-RMSE), the TFT model outperformed other models in making point forecasts of both types of energy use of the City Museum (CV-RMSE 29.7% for electricity consumption and CV-RMSE 8.7% for heating load). When making probabilistic predictions, the TFT model performed best to capture the central tendency and upper distribution of heating load of the City Museum as well as both types of energy use of the City Theatre. The predictive models developed in this study can be integrated into digital twin models of buildings to discover areas where energy use can be reduced, optimize building operations, and improve overall sustainability and efficiency.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA, 2024
Keywords
Building energy forecasting; Probabilistic forecast; Deep learning; Quantile regression; Prediction interval
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-199517 (URN)10.1016/j.enbuild.2023.113810 (DOI)001160056900001 ()
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency
Note

Funding: Swedish Energy Agency [50043-1]

Available from: 2023-12-07 Created: 2023-12-07 Last updated: 2025-04-23
5. Leveraging Deep Learning and Digital Twins to Improve Energy Performance of Buildings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Leveraging Deep Learning and Digital Twins to Improve Energy Performance of Buildings
2023 (English)In: 2023 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Industrial Electronics for Sustainable Energy Systems (IESES), IEEE, 2023Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Digital transformation in buildings accumulates massive operational data, which calls for smart solutions to utilize these data to improve energy performance. This study has proposed a solution, namely Deep Energy Twin, for integrating deep learning and digital twins to better understand building energy use and identify the potential for improving energy efficiency. Ontology was adopted to create parametric digital twins to provide consistency of data format across different systems in a building. Based on created digital twins and collected data, deep learning methods were used for performing data analytics to identify patterns and provide insights for energy optimization. As a demonstration, a case study was conducted in a public historic building in Norrköping, Sweden, to compare the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning architectures in building energy forecasting.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2023
Keywords
deep learning, digital twin, building energy forecasting
National Category
Energy Systems Construction Management Other Computer and Information Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-198152 (URN)10.1109/ieses53571.2023.10253721 (DOI)979-8-3503-2475-4 (ISBN)979-8-3503-2476-1 (ISBN)
Conference
2023 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Industrial Electronics for Sustainable Energy Systems (IESES)
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency
Available from: 2023-09-26 Created: 2023-09-26 Last updated: 2025-04-23
6. Edge-based Parametric Digital Twins for Intelligent Building Indoor Climate Modeling
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Edge-based Parametric Digital Twins for Intelligent Building Indoor Climate Modeling
2024 (English)In: 2024 IEEE 20th International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS), Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Digital transformation in the built environment generates vast data for developing data-driven models to optimize building operations. This study presents an integrated solution utilizing edge computing, digital twins, and deep learning to enhance the understanding of climate in buildings. Parametric digital twins, created using an ontology, ensure consistent data representation across diverse service systems equipped by different buildings. Based on created digital twins and collected data, deep learning methods are employed to develop predictive models for identifying patterns in indoor climate and providing insights. Both the parametric digital twin and deep learning models are deployed on edge for low latency and privacy compliance. As a demonstration, a case study was conducted in a historic building in Östergötland, Sweden, to compare the performance of five deep learning architectures. The results indicate that the timeseries dense encoder model exhibited strong competitiveness in performing multi-horizon forecasts of indoor temperature and relative humidity with low computational costs.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2024
Keywords
edge computing, digital twin, deep learning, building indoor climate
National Category
Computer Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-204094 (URN)10.1109/WFCS60972.2024.10540966 (DOI)001239586400022 ()9798350319347 (ISBN)9798350319354 (ISBN)
Conference
2024 IEEE 20th International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS), Toulouse, France, 17-19 April, 2024.
Funder
VinnovaSwedish Energy Agency
Note

Funding Agencies|Swedish Energy Agency (Energimyndigheten); Swedish Innovation Agency (Vinnova)

Available from: 2024-06-03 Created: 2024-06-03 Last updated: 2025-04-23Bibliographically approved

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