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A Transfer Learning Approach to Create Energy Forecasting Models for Building Fleets
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Computer Science, Electrical and Space Engineering.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The creation of accurate energy prediction models plays a signifcant role in achieving sustainability in smart cities. However, stakeholders such as municipalities face the problem of creating individual energy forecasting models for multiple building feets which leads to an increased amount of computational resources and time spent to prepare each model. This research proposes a method using Hierarchical clustering with Dynamic time warping (DTW) to group similar buildings according to their consumption values and the integration of Transfer Learning (TL) to share the model weights from a source building to other target buildings. Several TL models using diferent portions of the target data were tested against a standard workfow without TL for predicting electricity and district heating for several school buildings using a Multivariate LSTM model. The performance metrics show minor diferences between the TL and standard models. Results indicate that using 20% to 40% of the target data is sufcient for training. The models achieved average RMSE improvements of 20% and 5% for district heating and electricity respectively, indicating a potential for reduced data requirements without sacrifcing predictive accuracy and demonstrating TL’s efciency to streamline the energy forecasting process for building feets.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025.
National Category
Computer Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-111896OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-111896DiVA, id: diva2:1943108
Subject / course
Student thesis, at least 30 credits
Educational program
Master Programme in Green Networking and Cloud Computing
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2025-03-13 Created: 2025-03-07 Last updated: 2025-03-13Bibliographically approved

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Department of Computer Science, Electrical and Space Engineering
Computer Systems

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf