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Large-scale modelling of visitors' long-distance trips to Sweden
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Traffic analysis and logistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3738-9318
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Traffic analysis and logistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6966-9077
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Traffic analysis and logistics. Department of Science and Technology, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: /0000-0001-6956-7695
2025 (English)In: Transportation planning and technology (Print), ISSN 0308-1060, E-ISSN 1029-0354Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Modelling of long-distance travel is often overlooked in national transport models, which is problematic, for example, when assessing the impacts of large railway investments involving a substantial share of cross-border travel. One kind of long-distance travel is visitors’ trips. In this paper, we estimate trip generation, mode and destination choice models for visitors’ long-distance trips to Sweden using survey data on incoming visitors collected at the Swedish border and major airports and ferry terminals. We describe the modelling challenges faced, such as having origin data on the country level only. We explain visitor choice of the destination zone in Sweden using point-of-interest data from open-street-map. Travel time and travel cost elasticities are calculated for a railway investment scenario. The results show that reducing door-to-door travel time by rail is more important than reducing travel costs if the goal is to switch visitors’ trips from air and car to rail.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Routledge, 2025.
Keywords [en]
visitors' trips, mode choice, destination choice, trip generation, large-scale modelling
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-21725DOI: 10.1080/03081060.2025.2465560ISI: 001424400200001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85218185246OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-21725DiVA, id: diva2:1941528
Funder
Swedish Transport Administration, TRV 2022/28819Available from: 2025-02-28 Created: 2025-02-28 Last updated: 2025-02-28Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
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  • asciidoc
  • rtf