Regression Analysis for Prediction of Road Travel Speed
2024 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 20 credits / 30 HE credits
Student thesis
Abstract [en]
This thesis investigates the prediction of road travel speed in Gothenburg, Sweden, using regression analysis. Leveraging a comprehensive dataset from the Swedish Transport Administration, the study integrates temporal variables, route information, and weather conditions to develop a prediction model. The XGBoost regressor, known for its effectiveness with complex datasets, was employed to forecast the speed for upcoming road segments. Evaluation metrics, including Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and R-squared (R²), indicated high predictive accuracy and robustness. Despite the model's high performance, limitations such as the absence of data on road accidents and maintenance activities, as well as a restricted geographical focus, were noted. The findings offer valuable insights for enhancing transportation planning, route optimization, and traffic management in urban settings.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. , p. 48
Keywords [en]
Regression Analysis, Road Travel Speed Prediction, Gothenburg, Sweden, XGBoost Regressor, Temporal Variables, Weather Conditions, Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Squared Error, Traffic Management, Transportation Planning
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-71926OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mau-71926DiVA, id: diva2:1910903
Educational program
TS Datavetenskap och applikationsutveckling
Presentation
2024-08-27, Malmo University, 08:00 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
2025-03-172024-11-062025-03-17Bibliographically approved