Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
BREXIT: The Swedish Perspective: A Gravity Model Approach
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM).
2019 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The subject of trade negotiations has been a highly publicised debate in the context of Brexit. The term ‘no deal’ has come to represent the United Kingdom leaving with no specific or comprehensive preferential trade agreement, whereas the potentially most far-reaching deal would resemble something along the lines of an EFTA membership. By using bilateral trade data between 2005 and 2017 for Sweden and their top 60 trading partners, an elaborated gravity model for trade suggests a significant long-run decline in the magnitude of trade between Sweden and the United Kingdom. For trade in goods, the results suggest an impact between 21.4%-25.7% in reduced bilateral trade between the UK and Sweden, if the UK leave under WTO terms. The findings also indicate that the impact on trade in services, for which the United Kingdom is Sweden’s second largest trading partner, will be significantly more pronounced between 45.7%-70.0% under a ‘no deal’ scenario. Whilst the model is such that no robust conclusions can be made about the EFTA-type deal for goods, they suggest that terms similar to EFTA would have a significant mitigating effect on any reduction in trade in services. However, a less comprehensive free trade agreement would do little to replace lost service trade when compared to the ‘no deal’ impact.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. , p. 66
Series
TRITA-ITM-EX ; 2019:286
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-264219OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-264219DiVA, id: diva2:1372541
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2019-11-25 Created: 2019-11-25 Last updated: 2019-11-25Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(2521 kB)10 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 2521 kBChecksum SHA-512
afa21699341dc29430a7c67e402fac8703fac36d094f4282394b54c2c40140b8e21538f406619c75d5a4850ff59031570b2a479a25f9cffcf41549217b8c4cfc
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

By organisation
School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM)
Engineering and Technology

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 10 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 11 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf