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Bisphosphonates and mortality: confounding in observational studies?
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Geriatric Medicine.
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health. School of Sport Sciences, UiT Arctic University of Norway, Postboks 1621, 9509, Alta, Norway..ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3534-456X
Department of Care Sciences, Malmö University, 20506, Malmö, Sweden..
Division of Clinical geriatrics, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Plan 7, 14183, Huddinge, Sweden. Research and Development Unit, Stockholm Sjukhem, Mariebergsgatan 22, 11219, Stockholm, Sweden.. (Theme Aging, Karolinska Univeristy Hospital, 14186, Stockholm, Sweden.)
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2019 (English)In: Osteoporosis International, ISSN 0937-941X, E-ISSN 1433-2965, Vol. 30, no 10, p. 1973-1982Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Summary: Numerous observational studies suggest that bisphosphonates reduce mortality. This study showed that bisphosphonate use is associated with lower mortality within days of treatment, although the association was not significant until the second week. Such an early association is consistent with confounding, although an early treatment effect cannot be ruled out.

Introduction: The purpose of this study was to examine whether confounding explains why numerous observational studies show that bisphosphonate use is associated with lower mortality. To this end, we examined how soon after treatment initiation a lower mortality rate can be observed. We hypothesized that, due to confounding, the association would be observed immediately.

Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of hip fracture patients discharged from Swedish hospitals between 1 July 2006 and 31 December 2015. The data covered 260,574 hip fracture patients and were obtained from the Swedish Hip Fracture Register and national registers. Of the 260,574 patients, 49,765 met all eligibility criteria and 10,178 were pair matched (bisphosphonate users to controls) using time-dependent propensity scores. The matching variables were age, sex, diagnoses, prescription medications, type of hip fracture, type of surgical procedure, known or suspected dementia, and physical functioning status.

Results: Over a median follow-up of 2.8 years, 2922 of the 10,178 matched patients died. The mortality rate was 7.9 deaths per 100 person-years in bisphosphonate users and 9.4 deaths in controls, which corresponded to a 15% lower mortality rate in bisphosphonate users (hazard ratio 0.85, 95% confidence interval 0.79–0.91). The risk of death was lower in bisphosphonate users from day 6 of treatment, although the association was not significant until the second week.

Conclusion: Bisphosphonate use was associated with lower mortality within days of treatment initiation. This finding is consistent with confounding, although an early treatment effect cannot be ruled out.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer London, 2019. Vol. 30, no 10, p. 1973-1982
Keywords [en]
Bisphosphonates, Death, Mortality, Observational study, Osteoporosis
National Category
Orthopaedics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-162802DOI: 10.1007/s00198-019-05097-1ISI: 000490600300007PubMedID: 31367949Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85069962751OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-162802DiVA, id: diva2:1346769
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2016-02584
Note

Errata: Bergman, J.a, et al. Correction to: Bisphosphonates and mortality: confounding in observational studies, Osteoporosis International 32, 797-800, 2021. DOI: 10.1007/s00198-021-05884-9

Available from: 2019-08-29 Created: 2019-08-29 Last updated: 2022-05-05Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Benefits and harms of Bisphosphonates: an observational study
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Benefits and harms of Bisphosphonates: an observational study
2022 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Alternative title[sv]
Positiva och negativa effekter av bisfosfonater : en observationsstudie
Abstract [en]

Background: Bisphosphonates are first-line treatment for osteoporosis, but osteoporosis is considered an undertreated disease. The general aim of this dissertation was to further study the benefits and harms of bisphosphonates. There were four specific research questions: (1) Do bisphosphonates reduce the risk of new fractures in older adults who have a history of fracture? (2) Do bisphosphonates reduce the risk of fracture in people taking glucocorticoids? (3) Does confounding explain why bisphosphonates are associated with lower mortality in observational studies? (4) Do bisphosphonates increase the risk of non-jaw osteonecrosis?

Methods: To answer these questions, we used Swedish register data on deaths, diagnoses, and prescription medications to conduct four matched cohort studies of bisphosphonate users and nonusers. The cohorts were selected from patients registered in the Hip Fracture Register and from all residents of Sweden who were aged 50 years or older on December 31, 2005.

Results: (1) Bisphosphonate users had an initially increased risk of sustaining new fractures, which appeared to be due to an underlying high risk of fracture. This increased risk diminished over time, which is consistent with a gradual treatment effect, but it is also consistent with a bias known as depletion of susceptibles. (2) Bisphosphonate users had a lower risk of fracture during glucocorticoid therapy. (3) Bisphosphonate users had a lower mortality rate from day 2 of treatment. Although such an early treatment effect cannot be ruled out, this finding is consistent with confounding. (4) Bisphosphonate users had an increased risk of developing non-jaw osteonecrosis. 

Conclusion: Most of the results were difficult to interpret as true benefits or harms of bisphosphonates because alternative explanations, arising from bias or confounding, were likely. The exception was the results of Study 2, where alternative explanations are more difficult to find. Therefore, Study 2 suggests that bisphosphonates reduce the risk of fractures in glucocorticoid-treated patients. Further research is needed to clarify the potential effects of bisphosphonates on mortality, non-jaw osteonecrosis, and new fractures after a previous fracture.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Umeå: Umeå universitet, 2022. p. 89
Series
Umeå University medical dissertations, ISSN 0346-6612 ; 2184
Keywords
osteoporosis, fracture, alendronate, risedronate, zoledronic acid, glucocorticoid, mortality, osteonecrosis, register, registry, real-world evidence, epidemiology
National Category
Geriatrics Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Research subject
Geriatrics; Epidemiology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-194452 (URN)978-91-7855-807-0 (ISBN)978-91-7855-808-7 (ISBN)
Public defence
2022-06-03, Hörsal F, Humanisthuset, Universitetsområdet, Umeå, 13:00 (Swedish)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2022-05-13 Created: 2022-05-05 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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