The Price of Uranium: an Econometric Analysis and Scenario Simulations
2019 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE credits
Student thesis
Abstract [en]
The purpose of this thesis is to analyze: (a) the determinants of the global price of uranium; and (b) how this price could be affected by different nuclear power generation scenarios for 2030. To do this a multivariable regression analysis will be used. Within the model, the price of uranium is the dependent variable and the independent variables are generated nuclear power electricity representing demand (GWh), price of coal as a substitute to generated nuclear power electricity, and the price of oil representing uranium production costs. The empirical results show that generated nuclear electricity and the oil price, to be statistically significant at the 5 percent level. The coal price was not however a statistically significant. The scenarios for 2030 are three possible nuclear power generation demand cases; high, medium and low demand. The results for the high demand generated a price of 255 US$/kg and the medium demand 72US$/kg.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019.
Keywords [en]
Price of uranium, uranium, nuclear power scenarios, uranium price in 2030, econometric model, price estimation uranium, nuclear power and uranium, scenario simulations, econometric analysis
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-75250OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-75250DiVA, id: diva2:1335906
Educational program
Business and Economics, bachelor's level
Supervisors
Examiners
2019-08-122019-07-082019-08-12Bibliographically approved