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Logistics in a Changing Retail Landscape: How Will Warehouses and Logistics Real Estate Evolve With the Transformation of Retail?
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.
2019 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Logistik i ett förändrat handelslandskap (Swedish)
Abstract [en]

The Swedish retail sector is experiencing a structural shift, where the e-commerce sector isgrowing steadily each year. As of 2017, e-commerce had seen an average annual growth rateof 14% over the past decade. Currently, e-commerce corresponds to 8.7% of the total retailsector. As the e-commerce sector is growing, so are the requirements for the underlyinglogistics operations. Larger trade volumes implicate a greater need of warehouses andlogistics real estate.The purpose of this master thesis is to investigate how the changing retail landscape will affectdemand for logistics real estate in Sweden for the coming decade. The study is based on amixed-method research design, combining a data analysis on the current market situationwith scenario-based interviews with 14 professionals about future market expectations. Thisthesis is structured around the DAS-framework, a strategy model developed at the Real Estateand Housing department at Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands.From observations, the conclusion is that the logistics real estate stock in Sweden needs to becomplemented by several, smaller distribution terminals located in close vicinity to the citycores. This in order to address the last-mile issue from the continued development of ecommercein areas with dense population.

Abstract [sv]

Den svenska handelssektorn genomgår ett strukturellt skifte, där e-handelssektorn växerstadigt varje år. Under det senaste decenniet har e-handelssektorn i genomsnitt haft en årligtillväxt om 14% och utgör per 2017 8,7% av den totala detaljhandeln. I takt med att ehandelssektornväxer sig större ökar också krav på lager- och logistikfastigheter. Störrehandelsvolymer innebär ett större behov av lager- och logistikyta.Syftet med denna masteruppsats är att undersöka hur e-handelns utveckling kommer attpåverka efterfrågan inom logistiksektorn på den framtida svenska fastighetsmarknaden.Studien baseras på en blandad forskningsmetod, dels genom en data-analys av den nuvarandesituationen inom logistiksektorn, och dels genom scenario-baserade intervjuer med 14professionella aktörer om framtida marknadsförväntningar. Uppsatsen är strukturerad efterDAS-framework, en strategisk modell utvecklad av fastighetsavdelningen på Delfts TekniskaUniversitet i Nederländerna.Det som kunnat observeras är att det finns ett framtida behov av att komplimentera detsvenska utbudet av logistikfastigheter med flera, mindre distributionsterminaler i stadsnäralägen. Detta för att försöka lösa den rådande ”sista-mil” distributionsproblematik som en ökade-handel skulle innebära, tillsammans med en högre befolkningstäthet i stadsområden.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. , p. 70
Series
TRITA-ABE-MBT ; 19172
Keywords [en]
Logistics real estate, Warehouses, Retail, Ecommerce, Commercial real estate
Keywords [sv]
Logistikfastigheter, Lagerfastigheter, Handel, E-handel, Kommersiella fastigheter
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-254733OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-254733DiVA, id: diva2:1335019
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2019-08-13 Created: 2019-07-03 Last updated: 2019-09-25Bibliographically approved

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