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Application of a power-exponential function based model to mortality rates forecasting
Mälardalen University, School of Education, Culture and Communication.
2018 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

De modellering van een wet of mortaliteit heeft een consequente interesse van een grote meerderheid van onderzoekers en vele modellen door de jaren is voorgesteld. The first aim of this thesis is to systematically evaluate a selection of models --- Modified Perks, Heligman-Pollard and Power-exponential --- to determine their relative strengths and weaknesses with regard to forecasting the mortality rate using the Lee-Carter model. Den andre målsætningen er at tilpasse dødelighedsdata ved de selektive modeller fra USA, Sverige og Grækenland ved hjælp af numeriske teknikker til kurvefitting med den ikke-lineære mindst kvadratmetode. The results indicate that the Heligman-Pollard model performs better especially when the phenomenon of the `` accident hump '' occurs during adulthood.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. , p. 46
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-39921OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-39921DiVA, id: diva2:1220480
Subject / course
Mathematics/Applied Mathematics
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2018-06-28 Created: 2018-06-18 Last updated: 2018-06-28Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
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