Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Political Competition and Party Incumbency: The Case of German Federal Elections
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics.
2017 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This paper investigates party incumbency advantage in German federal elections. I use a sharp regression discontinuity to exploit the firstpast-the-post voting system on the first ballot electing district representatives to the Bundestag, using election results from all voting districts that existed in Germany between 1953 and 2013. I find that being the incumbent party leads to a 1.2 percent increase in vote shares in the following election. This analysis focuses on the most dominant political party during the span of the data, the CDU. Historical analysis reveals the effect to be largest when the political system is stable and lowest at a time where the political structure was experiencing a shift. I do not find evidence to argue that the party incumbency advantage is larger when political competition threatens the potential reelection chances of the incumbent.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2017.
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-325960OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-325960DiVA, id: diva2:1117806
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2017-06-29 Created: 2017-06-29 Last updated: 2017-06-29Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(1025 kB)110 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 1025 kBChecksum SHA-512
368746338147ca8ed428b8d0389de5864d4116926db5f707aa105e80a0a9b23552d2a0e999adaf2963c43d2502316ec8fd4a6d449740dca65cd578b39190c117
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

By organisation
Department of Economics
Economics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 110 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 348 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf